Super-Trader

PAPER TRADING ONLY
Last updated 2026-08-25 14:00 EST · data as of 2026-08-24
Portfolio Value
$84,984.11
● LIVE — Alpaca · updated 2026-08-25 2:00 PM EST
Today's P&L
$-6.32 (-0.01%)
Total Return (vs $100K)
$-15,015.89 (-15.02%)
Cash Available
$31,468.60

HMM Regime Overlay CURRENT POLICY

Regime
TRANSITIONAL
Confidence
73.3%
Memory Rotation 35% · Bond Rotation 25% · Trump Tweet 5% · DRAM 0% · Cash 35%
Regime/confidence from the latest daily snapshot; allocations resolved from current hmm_overlay policy · updated 2026-08-24 9:30 PM EST

Portfolio Risk Metrics LIVE PAPER

Sharpe
13.48
total vol risk
Sortino
49.85
downside only
Calmar
699.69
CAGR / MaxDD
Max DD
-0.4%
worst drawdown
Total Return
+11.85%
21 days live
Win Rate
85%
up days / total
Sharpe penalizes all volatility · Sortino penalizes downside only · Calmar = CAGR / |Max Drawdown|. Updated hourly from tracked paper-account equity through 2026-08-24.

Current Holdings ● LIVE — Alpaca

SymbolStrategyQtyAvg EntryCurrentMarket ValueUnrealized P&L
QQQ Bond Rotation 17.932 $713.79 $709.43 $12,721.47 $-78.11 (-0.61%)
DIG Memory Rotation 162.6531 $69.77 $67.09 $10,912.40 $-435.44 (-3.84%)
BIL Memory Rotation 113.3185 $91.57 $91.62 $10,381.94 $5.35 (+0.05%)
AEM Maple 19.6348 $215.69 $222.94 $4,377.38 $142.41 (+3.36%)
WPM Maple 26.2187 $138.80 $162.97 $4,272.86 $633.71 (+17.41%)
ADSK Ndx Momentum 10.1299 $254.03 $250.34 $2,535.92 $-37.42 (-1.45%)
CMG Earnings Momentum 61.5141 $34.72 $37.64 $2,315.39 $179.62 (+8.41%)
BAH Earnings Momentum 27.0316 $79.01 $74.36 $2,010.21 $-125.56 (-5.88%)
EXLS Earnings Momentum 29.6567 $36.00 $37.42 $1,109.90 $42.26 (+3.96%)
LMT Earnings Momentum 1.748 $610.78 $558.50 $976.25 $-91.39 (-8.56%)
VSXY Earnings Momentum 5.8087 $86.98 $86.45 $502.16 $-3.08 (-0.61%)
CRM Earnings Momentum 2.4327 $207.68 $205.43 $499.76 $-5.47 (-1.08%)
DG Earnings Momentum 4.0531 $124.65 $123.16 $499.18 $-6.06 (-1.20%)
RY Maple 0.8333 $208.71 $206.93 $172.44 $-1.48 (-0.85%)
TD Maple 0.8864 $120.55 $118.61 $105.14 $-1.72 (-1.61%)
BNS Maple 0.6879 $88.59 $92.91 $63.91 $2.97 (+4.88%)
ENB Maple 0.7207 $51.55 $49.90 $35.96 $-1.19 (-3.21%)
TRP Maple 0.3735 $64.33 $62.23 $23.24 $-0.78 (-3.26%)
Last updated 2026-08-25 2:00 PM EST · live from Alpaca paper account · “(deallocated)” = leftover position from a sleeve no longer allocated capital

Position History

Date (EST)SymbolSideQtyPriceStrategy
2026-08-25 12:06 PM BIL BUY 0.196 $91.62 Memory Rotation
2026-08-25 10:00 AM DIG BUY 1.0591 $66.82 Memory Rotation
2026-08-25 9:34 AM DIG BUY 11.0064 $67.45 Memory Rotation
2026-08-25 9:34 AM BIL BUY 0.1562 $91.62 Memory Rotation
2026-08-25 9:34 AM BIL SELL 7.0613 $91.61 Memory Rotation
2026-08-25 9:33 AM CRM BUY 2.4327 $207.68 Earnings Momentum
2026-08-25 9:33 AM DG BUY 4.0531 $124.65 Earnings Momentum
2026-08-25 9:33 AM VSXY BUY 5.8087 $86.98 Earnings Momentum
2026-08-25 9:32 AM ADSK BUY 2.0149 $250.75 Ndx Momentum
2026-08-25 9:15 AM AEM BUY 19.491 $215.83 Maple

Active Strategies

Allocated Sleeves · LIVE PAPER places paper-account orders; PAPER SIM places no orders
Memory Rotation LIVE PAPER
Leveraged momentum — SNDK / MU / TQQQ / DIG · Re-risk cap 25%→30% on/after 2026-08-29 only when 30Y 5-day yield change ≤ 0 bp
REBALANCE → DIG · momentum 15.93% · VIX 15.85
OFFENSIVE: DIG above SMA80 with 20d momentum=15.93%. VIX=15.9; vol-scaled weight=51.1% (20d realized vol=48.9%, target=25%); rerisk_gate: inactive until 2026-08-29, target_vol=25% · Re-risk gate: inactive until 2026-08-29, target_vol=25%
Allocation 25% · deployed $21,294.34 (25.1% of equity)
Unrealized P&L: $-430.09
Holdings: DIG $10,912.40 · BIL $10,381.94
Updated 2026-08-24 9:31 PM EST
Maple Sleeve PAPER SIM · NO ORDERS
Canadian blue-chip dividend diversification sleeve
— → ENB, TRP, RY, TD, BNS, AEM, WPM
Allocation 15% · account holdings $9,050.94 (10.7% of equity)
Unrealized P&L: +$773.91
Holdings: AEM $4,377.38 · WPM $4,272.86 · RY $172.44 · TD $105.14 · BNS $63.91 · ENB $35.96 · TRP $23.24
Updated 2026-08-24 9:31 PM EST
Bond Rotation PAPER SIM · NO ORDERS
Top-1 126-day momentum · 15% vol target · Yield filter: 10Y 5-day change > +15 bp rotates SPY/QQQ winners to BIL (fail-open)
— → QQQ
Yield filter: 10Y -2bp/5d <= +15bp, QQQ unchanged
Allocation 15% · account holdings $12,721.47 (15.0% of equity)
Unrealized P&L: $-78.11
Holdings: QQQ $12,721.47
Updated 2026-08-24 9:31 PM EST
VNQ Reversion PAPER SIM · NO ORDERS
REIT mean-reversion sleeve — VNQ vs BIL
HOLD
HOLD in BIL/cash: RSI14 51.06 is between 35 and 65
Allocation 5% · account holdings $0.00 (0.0% of equity)
No positions currently held — sleeve rotates in and out
Updated 2026-08-24 9:31 PM EST
Earnings Momentum LIVE PAPER
Post-earnings momentum — scanner 5:00 PM ET, GTC entries 5:05 PM, 6.5% target / 5.5% stop / 5-session time exit
LONG → VSXY, DG, CRM, ADSK
Allocation 10% · deployed $7,912.85 (9.3% of equity)
Unrealized P&L: $-9.68
Holdings: CMG $2,315.39 · BAH $2,010.21 · EXLS $1,109.90 · LMT $976.25 · VSXY $502.16 · CRM $499.76 · DG $499.18
Updated 2026-08-25 9:32 AM EST
Signal-Only Paper · signals generated, no capital deployed
Meme ACTIVE SIGNAL-ONLY
WSB / social-mention signal scanner
Meme mania 0.0 · 0 candidates · feeds: polymarket, kalshi
Last run 2026-08-24 9:31 PM EST
Inverse Meme ACTIVE SIGNAL-ONLY
Long-only complement of the meme engine's price-confirmed WSB picks
Last run 2026-08-24 9:31 PM EST
Options ACTIVE SIGNAL-ONLY
Wheel strategy — cash-secured puts / covered calls
Last run 2026-08-24 9:31 PM EST
Trump Tweet ACTIVE NOTIFICATION ONLY
1-min Truth Social poller — NOTIFICATION ONLY: alerts sent, trading disabled 2026-08-20, no orders placed
No pending trade
Last run 2026-08-25 11:54 AM EST
Inverse Crypto ACTIVE SIGNAL-ONLY
7 strategies tested — no alpha after costs
Last run 2026-08-24 9:31 PM EST
DRAM PAUSED SIGNAL-ONLY
PAUSED TRADING — signal-only paper simulation continues; Dynamic Regime-Adaptive Momentum with vol-scaled sizing + VIX-adaptive ATR trailing stop
Last run 2026-08-25 8:00 AM EST
Retired · no allocation, kept for historical context
Shipping RETIRED 0% ALLOCATION
Tanker sector rotation — INSW/NAT/FRO/SBLK/DHT/STNG · 14-day rebalance
Retired — kept for historical context
Geo Reversal RETIRED 0% ALLOCATION
Geopolitical reversal rotation — energy vs broad market on geo-risk score shifts
Retired — kept for historical context
VIX Regime RETIRED 0% ALLOCATION
VIX regime recovery basket — 80% SPY / 20% QQQ when high-vol + low VIX + bull trend
Retired — kept for historical context
Value Dip RETIRED 0% ALLOCATION
NASDAQ-100 worst performers — dynamic sourcing pipeline, 4-condition entry gate
Retired — kept for historical context
Polymarket Weather RETIRED 0% ALLOCATION
Weather prediction market signals (retired/deleted)
Retired — kept for historical context
Pre-Market Momentum RETIRED 0% ALLOCATION
Pre-market gap momentum scanner — allocation removed after live evaluation
Retired · last run 2026-08-25 9:15 AM EST

Meme Sentiment SIGNAL-ONLY / NOT VALIDATED / NO LIVE CAPITAL

Meme Mania
0.0
Feeds Used
polymarket, kalshi
Feeds Missing
reddit, twitter
TickerMeme ScoreSuggested Weight
No candidates above threshold
signal-only; not validated; no live capital · updated 2026-08-24 9:31 PM

Earnings Momentum LIVE PAPER

Trading Days Held
0 / 5
Open Legs
4 / 4
Signal
2026-08-25 9:32 AM
SymbolStatusEntryTargetStopCurrentUnrealized P&L
VSXY OPEN $86.98 $92.63 $82.20 $86.45 $-3.08 (-0.61%)
DG OPEN $124.65 $132.76 $117.80 $123.16 $-6.06 (-1.20%)
CRM OPEN $207.68 $221.18 $196.26 $205.43 $-5.47 (-1.08%)
ADSK OPEN $250.75 $267.05 $236.96 $250.34 $-37.42 (-1.45%)
6.5% target · 5.5% stop · 5-session time exit · exit monitor 9:40 AM / 11:40 AM / 1:40 PM / 3:40 PM ET · last check 2026-08-25 1:40 AM

Live Paper Trading Performance — since July 27, 2026 LIVE PAPER

Last updated August 24, 2026 · page generated August 25, 2026 at 02:00 PM ET
Days Live
21
Total Return
+11.85%
Sharpe
13.48
Sortino
49.85
Calmar
699.69
Max DD
-0.40%
Win Rate
85%
StrategyEquityReturnSharpeSortinoCalmarMax DDWin RateBest DayDays
Maple $9,051 +41.76% 8.50 34.03 1897.02 -3.4% 76% +10.1% 21
Earnings Momentum $10,449 +11.10% 6.14 10.74 93.57 -2.7% 57% +3.1% 21
Memory Rotation $21,294 +7.71% 3.97 9.33 38.16 -3.8% 57% +4.6% 21
Bond Rotation $12,721 +3.53% 1.98 4.49 14.75 -3.5% 38% +3.4% 21
All metrics computed from actual tracked paper-account equity (state/per_strategy_equity) through August 24, 2026. Not a backtest.

Capital Allocation · No Margin

Memory Rotation
25%
$21,294.34
Bond Rotation
15%
$12,721.47
DRAM
0%
$0.00
VNQ Reversion
5%
$0.00
Maple
15%
$9,050.94
Earnings Momentum
10%
$7,912.85
Ndx Momentum
10%
$2,535.92
Hormuz Carry
5%
$0.00
Available Cash: $31,468.60 Total Deployed: $53,515.51 / $84,984.11

Dram vs Memory Rotation — Backtest Comparison

DRAM is positioned as a capital-preservation variant: lowest drawdown of any risk-taking strategy. Universe selection bias applies (see signals/dynamic_regime.py). Bond Rotation is backtested over its own full 2007+ history (research/bond_rotation_backtest.py); backtest windows differ per row.
StrategyCAGRSharpeMax DDCalmarPeriod
DRAM85.5%2.25-13.4%6.391.5y
Memory Rotation687.6%2.90-35.3%19.481.5y
B&H QQQ27.4%1.17-22.8%1.201.5y
B&H BIL3.9%17.61-0.0%358.471.5y
Backtest comparison (research/dynamic_backtest_results.json). The live DRAM strategy trades a different universe and rebalances on different triggers. This is a research comparison, not a live performance record.