Super-Trader

PAPER TRADING ONLY
Portfolio Value
$85,444.80
● LIVE — Alpaca · updated 2026-08-23 11:01 PM EST
Today's P&L
$-59.07 (-0.07%)
Total Return (vs $100K)
$-14,555.20 (-14.56%)
Cash Available
$36,235.45

HMM Regime Overlay CURRENT POLICY

Regime
TRANSITIONAL
Confidence
74.4%
Memory Rotation 35% · Bond Rotation 25% · Trump Tweet 5% · DRAM 0% · Cash 35%
Regime/confidence from the latest daily snapshot; allocations resolved from current hmm_overlay policy · updated 2026-08-21 5:30 PM EST

Portfolio Risk Metrics LIVE PAPER

Sharpe
5.15
total vol risk
Sortino
9.34
downside only
Calmar
31.68
CAGR / MaxDD
Max DD
-3.7%
worst drawdown
Total Return
+7.65%
24 days live
Win Rate
65%
up days / total
Sharpe penalizes all volatility · Sortino penalizes downside only · Calmar = CAGR / |Max Drawdown|. Updated hourly from tracked paper-account equity through 2026-08-21.

Current Holdings ● LIVE — Alpaca

SymbolStrategyQtyAvg EntryCurrentMarket ValueUnrealized P&L
QQQ Bond Rotation 17.932 $713.79 $712.80 $12,781.90 $-17.68 (-0.14%)
BIL Memory Rotation 120.5646 $91.57 $91.60 $11,043.72 $3.62 (+0.03%)
DIG Memory Rotation 147.694 $70.03 $69.32 $10,238.15 $-104.86 (-1.01%)
WPM Maple 26.2187 $138.80 $158.93 $4,166.94 $527.78 (+14.50%)
SNDK Memory Rotation 1.5529 $1,711.50 $1,556.00 $2,416.35 $-241.49 (-9.09%)
CMG Earnings Momentum 61.5141 $34.72 $36.84 $2,266.24 $130.47 (+6.11%)
BAH Earnings Momentum 27.0316 $79.01 $77.05 $2,082.79 $-52.98 (-2.48%)
INTC DRAM 18.8888 $98.63 $89.49 $1,690.36 $-172.65 (-9.27%)
EXLS Earnings Momentum 29.6567 $36.00 $37.44 $1,110.35 $42.71 (+4.00%)
LMT Earnings Momentum 1.748 $610.78 $564.50 $986.74 $-80.90 (-7.58%)
RY Maple 0.8333 $208.71 $205.23 $171.02 $-2.90 (-1.67%)
TD Maple 0.8864 $120.55 $117.15 $103.85 $-3.02 (-2.82%)
BNS Maple 0.6879 $88.59 $87.33 $60.07 $-0.87 (-1.42%)
ENB Maple 0.7207 $51.55 $50.46 $36.36 $-0.79 (-2.11%)
AEM Maple 0.1438 $196.30 $218.06 $31.36 $3.13 (+11.09%)
TRP Maple 0.3735 $64.33 $62.02 $23.16 $-0.86 (-3.59%)
Last updated 2026-08-23 11:01 PM EST · live from Alpaca paper account · “(deallocated)” = leftover position from a sleeve no longer allocated capital

Position History

Date (EST)SymbolSideQtyPriceStrategy
2026-08-21 5:31 PM QQQ BUY 5.0011 $713.04 Bond Rotation
2026-08-21 11:00 AM QQQ SELL 5.959 $711.93 Bond Rotation
2026-08-21 9:34 AM QQQ SELL 1 $713.05 Bond Rotation
2026-08-21 9:34 AM QQQ SELL 4 $712.93 Bond Rotation
2026-08-21 9:30 AM WPM SELL 2 $154.00 Maple
2026-08-21 9:15 AM QQQ BUY 5.959 $715.23 Bond Rotation
2026-08-20 6:03 PM QQQ BUY 5.3258 $710.65 Bond Rotation
2026-08-20 9:35 AM WMT SELL 13.2302 $105.31 Trump Tweet
2026-08-20 9:34 AM SFL SELL 44.7816 $12.56 Value Dip (deallocated)
2026-08-20 9:34 AM SFL SELL 84 $12.56 Value Dip (deallocated)

Active Strategies

Allocated Sleeves · LIVE PAPER places paper-account orders; PAPER SIM places no orders
Memory Rotation LIVE PAPER
Leveraged momentum — SNDK / MU / TQQQ / DIG · Re-risk cap 25%→30% on/after 2026-08-29 only when 30Y 5-day yield change ≤ 0 bp
REBALANCE → DIG · momentum 12.48% · VIX 15.13
OFFENSIVE: DIG above SMA80 with 20d momentum=12.48%. VIX=15.1; vol-scaled weight=48.2% (20d realized vol=51.8%, target=25%) · Re-risk gate: DORMANT until 2026-08-29 · target vol 25%; eligible for 30% only when 30Y 5-day change is flat or down
Allocation 25% · deployed $23,698.22 (27.7% of equity)
Unrealized P&L: $-342.73
Holdings: BIL $11,043.72 · DIG $10,238.15 · SNDK $2,416.35
Updated 2026-08-21 5:30 PM EST
Maple Sleeve PAPER SIM · NO ORDERS
Canadian blue-chip dividend diversification sleeve
— → ENB, TRP, RY, TD, BNS, AEM, WPM
Allocation 15% · account holdings $4,592.77 (5.4% of equity)
Unrealized P&L: +$522.48
Holdings: WPM $4,166.94 · RY $171.02 · TD $103.85 · BNS $60.07 · ENB $36.36 · AEM $31.36 · TRP $23.16
Updated 2026-08-22 4:42 PM EST
Bond Rotation PAPER SIM · NO ORDERS
Top-1 126-day momentum · 15% vol target · Yield filter: 10Y 5-day change > +15 bp rotates SPY/QQQ winners to BIL (fail-open)
— → QQQ
Yield filter: enabled; latest saved signal predates filter evaluation — status pending next strategy run
Allocation 15% · account holdings $12,781.90 (15.0% of equity)
Unrealized P&L: $-17.68
Holdings: QQQ $12,781.90
Updated 2026-08-21 5:30 PM EST
VNQ Reversion PAPER SIM · NO ORDERS
REIT mean-reversion sleeve — VNQ vs BIL
HOLD
HOLD in BIL/cash: RSI14 51.68 is between 35 and 65
Allocation 5% · account holdings $0.00 (0.0% of equity)
No positions currently held — sleeve rotates in and out
Updated 2026-08-21 5:31 PM EST
Earnings Momentum LIVE PAPER
Post-earnings momentum — scanner 5:00 PM ET, GTC entries 5:05 PM, 6.5% target / 5.5% stop / 5-session time exit
LONG → GEHC, CMG
Allocation 10% · deployed $6,446.11 (7.5% of equity)
Unrealized P&L: +$39.29
Holdings: CMG $2,266.24 · BAH $2,082.79 · EXLS $1,110.35 · LMT $986.74
Updated 2026-08-21 5:05 PM EST
Signal-Only Paper · signals generated, no capital deployed
Meme ACTIVE SIGNAL-ONLY
WSB / social-mention signal scanner
Meme mania 67.1875 · 0 candidates · feeds: reddit, polymarket, kalshi
Last run 2026-08-21 5:31 PM EST
Inverse Meme ACTIVE SIGNAL-ONLY
Long-only complement of the meme engine's price-confirmed WSB picks
Last run 2026-08-21 11:58 PM EST
Options ACTIVE SIGNAL-ONLY
Wheel strategy — cash-secured puts / covered calls
Last run 2026-08-21 5:31 PM EST
Trump Tweet ACTIVE NOTIFICATION ONLY
1-min Truth Social poller — NOTIFICATION ONLY: alerts sent, trading disabled 2026-08-20, no orders placed
No pending trade
Last run 2026-08-23 10:58 PM EST
Inverse Crypto ACTIVE SIGNAL-ONLY
7 strategies tested — no alpha after costs
Last run 2026-08-21 5:31 PM EST
DRAM PAUSED SIGNAL-ONLY
PAUSED TRADING — signal-only paper simulation continues; Dynamic Regime-Adaptive Momentum with vol-scaled sizing + VIX-adaptive ATR trailing stop
⚠ Leftover positions (deallocated, pending liquidation): $1,690.36 — INTC $1,690.36
Last run 2026-08-21 5:31 PM EST
Retired · no allocation, kept for historical context
Shipping RETIRED 0% ALLOCATION
Tanker sector rotation — INSW/NAT/FRO/SBLK/DHT/STNG · 14-day rebalance
Retired — kept for historical context
Geo Reversal RETIRED 0% ALLOCATION
Geopolitical reversal rotation — energy vs broad market on geo-risk score shifts
Retired — kept for historical context
VIX Regime RETIRED 0% ALLOCATION
VIX regime recovery basket — 80% SPY / 20% QQQ when high-vol + low VIX + bull trend
Retired — kept for historical context
Value Dip RETIRED 0% ALLOCATION
NASDAQ-100 worst performers — dynamic sourcing pipeline, 4-condition entry gate
Retired — kept for historical context
Polymarket Weather RETIRED 0% ALLOCATION
Weather prediction market signals (retired/deleted)
Retired — kept for historical context
Pre-Market Momentum RETIRED 0% ALLOCATION
Pre-market gap momentum scanner — allocation removed after live evaluation
Retired · last run 2026-08-21 11:00 AM EST

Meme Sentiment SIGNAL-ONLY / NOT VALIDATED / NO LIVE CAPITAL

Meme Mania
67.1875
Feeds Used
reddit, polymarket, kalshi
Feeds Missing
twitter
TickerMeme ScoreSuggested Weight
No candidates above threshold
signal-only; not validated; no live capital · updated 2026-08-21 5:31 PM

Earnings Momentum LIVE PAPER

Trading Days Held
0 / 5
Open Legs
1 / 2
Signal
2026-08-21 5:05 PM
SymbolStatusEntryTargetStopCurrentUnrealized P&L
GEHC ORDER PENDING $74.82 (est.) $79.68 $70.70 — —
CMG OPEN $36.90 (est.) $39.30 $34.87 $36.84 $130.47 (+6.11%)
6.5% target · 5.5% stop · 5-session time exit · exit monitor 9:40 AM / 11:40 AM / 1:40 PM / 3:40 PM ET

Live Paper Trading Performance — since July 21, 2026 LIVE PAPER

Days Live
24
Total Return
+7.65%
Sharpe
5.15
Sortino
9.34
Calmar
31.68
Max DD
-3.69%
Win Rate
65%
StrategyEquityReturnSharpeSortinoCalmarMax DDWin RateBest DayDays
Maple $4,593 +37.65% 7.36 20.07 816.76 -3.4% 67% +9.6% 24
Earnings Momentum $6,446 +18.16% 7.81 14.36 153.93 -3.1% 67% +3.9% 24
Memory Rotation $23,698 +6.58% 2.84 4.30 15.74 -6.0% 62% +4.0% 24
Bond Rotation $12,782 +0.63% 0.40 0.87 1.02 -6.7% 33% +3.4% 24
DRAM $1,690 -14.67% -1.90 -3.80 -3.61 -22.5% 38% +11.4% 24
All metrics computed from actual tracked paper-account equity (state/per_strategy_equity) through August 21, 2026. Not a backtest.

Capital Allocation · No Margin

Memory Rotation
25%
$23,698.22
Bond Rotation
15%
$12,781.90
DRAM
0%
$1,690.36
VNQ Reversion
5%
$0.00
Maple
15%
$4,592.77
Earnings Momentum
10%
$6,446.11
Available Cash: $36,235.45 Total Deployed: $49,209.35 / $85,444.80
Zero-allocation/deallocated positions (pending liquidation): $1,690.36

Dram vs Memory Rotation — Backtest Comparison

DRAM is positioned as a capital-preservation variant: lowest drawdown of any risk-taking strategy. Universe selection bias applies (see signals/dynamic_regime.py). Bond Rotation is backtested over its own full 2007+ history (research/bond_rotation_backtest.py); backtest windows differ per row.
StrategyCAGRSharpeMax DDCalmarPeriod
DRAM85.5%2.25-13.4%6.391.5y
Memory Rotation687.6%2.90-35.3%19.481.5y
B&H QQQ27.4%1.17-22.8%1.201.5y
B&H BIL3.9%17.61-0.0%358.471.5y
Backtest comparison (research/dynamic_backtest_results.json). The live DRAM strategy trades a different universe and rebalances on different triggers. This is a research comparison, not a live performance record.
All trading is PAPER ONLY — no real capital at risk.
Generated 2026-08-23 23:01 EST