Super-Trader Dashboard

HMM Regime Overlay CURRENT POLICY

Regime

LOW-VOL

Confidence

96.0%

Memory Rotation 35% · Bond Rotation 25% · Trump Tweet 5% · DRAM 0% · Cash 35%

Regime/confidence from the latest daily snapshot; allocations resolved from current hmm_overlay policy · updated 2026-08-28 9:30 PM EST

Strategy Summary 80/20 HOLDOUT

Chronological split by exit date · the final holdout is excluded from parameter optimization.

Full Sample 122 closed round-trips

Net Profit

$-15,405.01

all closed trades

Win Rate

65.57%

80 wins / 122 closed

Profit Factor

0.38

gross profit / gross loss

# of Trades

122

closed round-trips

Max Drawdown

$20,366.09

peak-to-trough decline

Avg Return

$-126.27

mean P&L per trade

Out-of-Sample · Held Back 25 of 122 (20.5% of sample)

Avg S/Trade

$-23.13▲ $129.72

OOS mean P&L

Win Rate

68.00%▲ 3.1pp

17 wins / 25 OOS

Profit Factor

0.34▼ 0.04

OOS gross profit / loss

Drawdown/Profit

N/A— N/A

OOS drawdown / net profit

Total Trades

25▼ 72

held-back round-trips

Edge Decay

▼ 10.63%

profit factor vs in-sample

small sample, deltas may be noisy

⚠ Fewer than 30 out-of-sample trades; results may not be statistically meaningful.

Cumulative Equity

In-sample Out-of-sample

train / test

Current Holdings ● LIVE — Alpaca

Symbol	Strategy	Qty	Avg Entry	Current	Market Value	Unrealized P&L
DIG	Memory Rotation	248.989	$67.06	$67.16	$16,722.10	$24.82 (+0.15%)
BIL	Memory Rotation	169.051	$91.61	$91.65	$15,493.52	$6.58 (+0.04%)
QQQ	Bond Rotation	6.932	$714.23	$716.43	$4,966.26	$15.25 (+0.31%)
BNS	Maple	45.5999	$94.31	$92.39	$4,212.98	$-87.66 (-2.04%)
AEM	Maple	19.6348	$215.69	$206.25	$4,049.68	$-185.29 (-4.38%)
WPM	Maple	26.2187	$138.80	$153.33	$4,020.11	$380.96 (+10.47%)
SOXX	GPU Tilt	6.1828	$519.23	$508.62	$3,144.71	$-65.57 (-2.04%)
FIVE	—	11.1089	$255.00	$241.89	$2,687.13	$-145.64 (-5.14%)
ADSK	—	10.1299	$254.03	$260.66	$2,640.46	$67.12 (+2.61%)
BAH	Earnings Momentum	27.0316	$79.01	$75.24	$2,033.86	$-101.91 (-4.77%)
SMH	GPU Tilt	3.1099	$566.81	$553.11	$1,720.12	$-42.62 (-2.42%)
ENB	Maple	29.5347	$50.39	$50.20	$1,482.64	$-5.58 (-0.38%)
EXLS	Earnings Momentum	29.6567	$36.00	$38.40	$1,138.82	$71.18 (+6.67%)
LMT	Earnings Momentum	1.748	$610.78	$563.85	$985.60	$-82.04 (-7.68%)
CRM	—	2.4327	$207.68	$256.00	$622.78	$117.55 (+23.27%)
VSXY	—	5.8087	$86.98	$87.85	$510.29	$5.05 (+1.00%)
DG	—	4.0531	$124.65	$122.89	$498.09	$-7.15 (-1.42%)
RY	Maple	0.8333	$208.71	$204.23	$170.19	$-3.73 (-2.15%)
TD	Maple	0.8864	$120.55	$121.25	$107.48	$0.62 (+0.58%)
TRP	Maple	0.3735	$64.33	$61.86	$23.10	$-0.92 (-3.84%)

Last updated 2026-08-29 9:00 AM EST · live from Alpaca paper account · “(deallocated)” = leftover position from a sleeve no longer allocated capital

Position History

Date (EST)	Symbol	Side	Qty	Price	Strategy
2026-08-28 11:11 AM	SMH	BUY	0.0555	$564.61	GPU Tilt
2026-08-28 11:11 AM	SOXX	BUY	0.0606	$518.03	GPU Tilt
2026-08-28 11:10 AM	SMH	BUY	0.0644	$565.11	GPU Tilt
2026-08-28 11:10 AM	SOXX	BUY	0.0696	$518.50	GPU Tilt
2026-08-28 11:09 AM	SMH	BUY	0.0733	$565.27	GPU Tilt
2026-08-28 11:09 AM	SOXX	BUY	0.0762	$518.49	GPU Tilt
2026-08-28 11:08 AM	SMH	BUY	0.065	$565.02	GPU Tilt
2026-08-28 11:08 AM	SOXX	BUY	0.0697	$518.27	GPU Tilt
2026-08-28 11:07 AM	SMH	BUY	0.0685	$565.47	GPU Tilt
2026-08-28 11:07 AM	SOXX	BUY	0.0746	$518.83	GPU Tilt

Active Strategies

Allocated Sleeves · LIVE PAPER places paper-account orders; PAPER SIM places no orders

Memory Rotation LIVE PAPER

Leveraged momentum — SNDK / MU / TQQQ / DIG · Re-risk cap 25%→30% on/after 2026-08-29 only when 30Y 5-day yield change ≤ 0 bp

REBALANCE → MU · momentum 13.34% · VIX 14.43

OFFENSIVE: MU above SMA80 with 20d momentum=13.34%. VIX=14.4; vol-scaled weight=45.6% (20d realized vol=54.8%, target=25%); rerisk_gate: inactive until 2026-08-29, target_vol=25% · Re-risk gate: latest saved signal predates the gate evaluation · 25% cap remains until the next strategy run evaluates the 30Y 5-day change

Allocation 35% · deployed $32,215.62 (38.3% of equity)

Unrealized P&L: +$31.40

Holdings: DIG $16,722.10 · BIL $15,493.52

Updated 2026-08-28 9:31 PM EST

Maple Sleeve PAPER SIM · NO ORDERS

Canadian blue-chip dividend diversification sleeve

— → ENB, TRP, RY, TD, BNS, AEM, WPM

Allocation 20% · account holdings $14,066.18 (16.7% of equity)

Unrealized P&L: +$98.39

Holdings: BNS $4,212.98 · AEM $4,049.68 · WPM $4,020.11 · ENB $1,482.64 · RY $170.19 · TD $107.48 · TRP $23.10

Updated 2026-08-28 9:31 PM EST

Bond Rotation LIVE PAPER

Top-1 126-day momentum · 15% vol target · Yield filter: 10Y 5-day change > +15 bp rotates SPY/QQQ winners to BIL (fail-open)

— → QQQ

Yield filter: 10Y -1.8bp/5d <= +15bp, QQQ unchanged

Allocation 5% · deployed $4,966.26 (5.9% of equity)

Unrealized P&L: +$15.25

Holdings: QQQ $4,966.26

Updated 2026-08-28 9:31 PM EST

Earnings Momentum LIVE PAPER

Post-earnings momentum — scanner 5:00 PM ET, GTC entries 5:05 PM, 6.5% target / 5.5% stop / 5-session time exit

LONG → DELL, ECAT

Allocation 15% · deployed $4,158.28 (4.9% of equity)

Unrealized P&L: $-112.77

Holdings: BAH $2,033.86 · EXLS $1,138.82 · LMT $985.60

Updated 2026-08-28 9:02 PM EST

GPU Tilt LIVE PAPER

H100 daily $/GPU-hour (Ornn OCPI) leads semiconductor ETFs by ~1 month (Granger p=0.0017 for SOXX). Z-score gated daily signal — OFFENSIVE=60% SOXX/40% SMH, DEFENSIVE=BIL.

OFFENSIVE → SOXX, SMH

GPU tilt ON: H100 mom=+3.0% Z=+0.57 5d_avg=+0.77% → long semis

Allocation 5% · deployed $4,864.83 (5.8% of equity)

Unrealized P&L: $-108.19

Holdings: SOXX $3,144.71 · SMH $1,720.12

Updated 2026-08-27 8:43 PM EST

Signal-Only Paper · signals generated, no capital deployed

Meme ACTIVE SIGNAL-ONLY

WSB / social-mention signal scanner

Meme mania 59.285714285714285 · 0 candidates · feeds: reddit, polymarket, kalshi

Last run 2026-08-28 9:31 PM EST

Inverse Meme ACTIVE SIGNAL-ONLY

Long-only complement of the meme engine's price-confirmed WSB picks

Last run 2026-08-28 9:31 PM EST

Options ACTIVE SIGNAL-ONLY

Wheel strategy — cash-secured puts / covered calls

Last run 2026-08-28 9:31 PM EST

Trump Tweet ACTIVE NOTIFICATION ONLY

1-min Truth Social poller — NOTIFICATION ONLY: alerts sent, trading disabled 2026-08-20, no orders placed

Pending: BUY NVDA ($750.00) · AFTER_HOURS

Last run 2026-08-29 12:48 AM EST

Inverse Crypto ACTIVE SIGNAL-ONLY

7 strategies tested — no alpha after costs

Last run 2026-08-28 9:31 PM EST

DRAM PAUSED SIGNAL-ONLY

PAUSED TRADING — signal-only paper simulation continues; Dynamic Regime-Adaptive Momentum with vol-scaled sizing + VIX-adaptive ATR trailing stop

Last run 2026-08-28 9:31 PM EST

VNQ Reversion ACTIVE SIGNAL-ONLY

REIT mean-reversion sleeve — VNQ vs BIL

Last run 2026-08-28 9:31 PM EST

Retired · no allocation, kept for historical context

Shipping RETIRED 0% ALLOCATION

Tanker sector rotation — INSW/NAT/FRO/SBLK/DHT/STNG · 14-day rebalance

Retired — kept for historical context

Geo Reversal RETIRED 0% ALLOCATION

Geopolitical reversal rotation — energy vs broad market on geo-risk score shifts

Retired — kept for historical context

VIX Regime RETIRED 0% ALLOCATION

VIX regime recovery basket — 80% SPY / 20% QQQ when high-vol + low VIX + bull trend

Retired — kept for historical context

Value Dip RETIRED 0% ALLOCATION

NASDAQ-100 worst performers — dynamic sourcing pipeline, 4-condition entry gate

Retired — kept for historical context

Polymarket Weather RETIRED 0% ALLOCATION

Weather prediction market signals (retired/deleted)

Retired — kept for historical context

Pre-Market Momentum RETIRED 0% ALLOCATION

Pre-market gap momentum scanner — allocation removed after live evaluation

Retired · last run 2026-08-28 9:15 AM EST

Meme Sentiment SIGNAL-ONLY / NOT VALIDATED / NO LIVE CAPITAL

Meme Mania

59.285714285714285

Feeds Used

reddit, polymarket, kalshi

Feeds Missing

twitter

Ticker	Meme Score	Suggested Weight
No candidates above threshold

signal-only; not validated; no live capital · updated 2026-08-28 9:31 PM

Earnings Calendar SCANNER

Ticker	Earnings Date	Days Until	Decision	Reason
Monday, 2026-08-31
CISS	2026-08-31 (Monday)	3 days	NO SETUP	Pullback -25.51% and runup -42.72% pass; RSI unavailable; scanner marked no setup
FRO	2026-08-31 (Monday)	3 days	NO SETUP	Pullback 1.98% > 1.5% threshold (price above MA entry zone)
Tuesday, 2026-09-01
DELL	2026-09-01 (Tuesday)	4 days	TRIGGERED	Pullback 0.18% ≤ 1.5% threshold, runup -7.04% ≤ 10% cap, within 5-day window
CRDO	2026-09-01 (Tuesday)	4 days	NO SETUP	Pullback 1.32% and runup -10.45% pass; RSI unavailable; scanner marked no setup
GTLB	2026-09-01 (Tuesday)	4 days	NO SETUP	Pullback 4.5% > 1.5% threshold (price above MA entry zone)
Wednesday, 2026-09-02
ECAT	2026-09-02 (Wednesday)	5 days	TRIGGERED	Pullback -0.31% ≤ 1.5% threshold, runup -0.58% ≤ 10% cap, within 5-day window
AGX	2026-09-02 (Wednesday)	5 days	NO SETUP	Pullback -7.26% and runup -27.75% pass; RSI unavailable; scanner marked no setup
AI	2026-09-02 (Wednesday)	5 days	NO SETUP	Pullback 4.34% > 1.5% threshold (price above MA entry zone)
AVGO	2026-09-02 (Wednesday)	5 days	NO SETUP	Pullback 1.8% > 1.5% threshold (price above MA entry zone)
BCAT	2026-09-02 (Wednesday)	5 days	NO SETUP	Pullback 0.84% and runup 0.88% pass; RSI unavailable; scanner marked no setup
BSTZ	2026-09-02 (Wednesday)	5 days	NO SETUP	Pullback 2.17% > 1.5% threshold (price above MA entry zone)
CAL	2026-09-02 (Wednesday)	5 days	NO SETUP	Pullback -3.72% and runup -6.66% pass; RSI unavailable; scanner marked no setup
CXM	2026-09-02 (Wednesday)	5 days	NO SETUP	Pullback 6.06% > 1.5% threshold (price above MA entry zone); Runup 18.43% > 10% cap (already run up too much)
DAKT	2026-09-02 (Wednesday)	5 days	NO SETUP	Pullback -0.03% and runup -5.44% pass; RSI unavailable; scanner marked no setup
FIVE	2026-09-02 (Wednesday)	5 days	NO SETUP	Pullback -4.64% and runup -1.08% pass; RSI unavailable; scanner marked no setup
GIII	2026-09-02 (Wednesday)	5 days	NO SETUP	Pullback -0.08% and runup -1.3% pass; RSI unavailable; scanner marked no setup
GOLD	2026-09-02 (Wednesday)	5 days	NO SETUP	Pullback -0.84% and runup 3.52% pass; RSI unavailable; scanner marked no setup

Scanner: pullback ≤ 1.5%, runup ≤ 10%, RSI ≤ 70, entry window 5 days · Generated 2026-08-28 9:02 PM

Earnings Momentum LIVE PAPER

Trading Days Held

0 / 5

Open Legs

0 / 2

Signal

2026-08-28 9:02 PM

Symbol	Status	Entry	Target	Stop	Current	Unrealized P&L
DELL	ORDER PENDING	$456.24 (est.)	$485.90	$431.15	—	—
ECAT	ORDER PENDING	$15.39 (est.)	$16.39	$14.54	—	—

6.5% target · 5.5% stop · 5-session time exit · exit monitor 9:40 AM / 11:40 AM / 1:40 PM / 3:40 PM ET

GPU Tilt LIVE PAPER

H100 daily $/GPU-hour (Ornn OCPI) leads semiconductor ETFs by ~1 month (Granger p=0.0017 for SOXX). Z-score gated daily signal — OFFENSIVE=60% SOXX/40% SMH, DEFENSIVE=BIL. Pricing source: Ornn Data OCPI.

Mode

OFFENSIVE

Target Book

SOXX 60% / SMH 40%

Signal

2026-08-27 8:43 PM

GPU tilt ON: H100 mom=+3.0% Z=+0.57 5d_avg=+0.77% → long semis

H100 Current $/GPU-hr	20d Ago	20d Momentum	20d Z-Score	5d Avg Return
$2.76	$2.68	+3.0%	+0.57	+0.77%

Z-score above +0.5 with rising H100 → offensive (60% SOXX / 40% SMH) · below −0.5 with falling H100 → defensive (100% BIL) · otherwise neutral half book · Today: Z +0.57 → OFFENSIVE

⚡ VIX for Compute

GPU compute price index from Ornn Data — the "OCPI" measures real $/GPU-hour pricing across the spot market. Annualized volatility is our computed "VIX" for compute. Also live on Bloomberg Terminal.

Compute VIX (avg)

66.1%

annualized, all GPUs

H100 Spot

$2.76

/GPU-hour

3-Mo Trend

H100 daily index

GPU	Daily Index $/hr	Live Spot	3-Mo Return	Ann. Vol	20D Momentum
A100 SXM4	$1.06	$1.21	-15.5%	38.0%	+1.3%
B200	$6.03	$6.01	+13.0%	59.1%	+5.3%
H100 SXM	$2.76	$2.93	-3.2%	65.2%	+3.8%
H200	$4.29	$4.49	+4.4%	95.7%	-5.9%
RTX 5090	$0.53	$0.53	-37.5%	72.7%	+8.3%

LLM Token Index	$/Mtok (blended)	Updated
Anthropic	$1.464	2026-08-26
Openai	$0.398	2026-08-26
Google	$0.297	2026-08-26
Deepseek	$0.103	2026-08-26

Source: Ornn Data API (free tier, daily grain) · H100 volatility index announced Aug 25, 2026 · Updated daily by cron · Paper trading context only

Live Paper Trading Performance — since July 28, 2026 LIVE PAPER

Last updated August 28, 2026 · page generated August 29, 2026 at 09:00 AM ET

Days Live

24

Total Return

+10.93%

Sharpe

10.50

Sortino

24.87

Calmar

197.61

Max DD

-1.00%

Trade Win Rate

66%

Strategy	Equity	Return	Sharpe	Sortino	Calmar	Max DD	Daily Up %	Best Day	Days
Maple	$14,066	+24.28%	7.48	22.26	353.82	-2.5%	71%	+5.0%	24
GPU Tilt	$4,865	+7.63%	1.86	2.98	12.62	-9.2%	58%	+8.2%	24
Memory Rotation	$32,216	+7.57%	3.60	7.46	30.67	-3.8%	54%	+4.5%	24
Bond Rotation	$4,966	+6.80%	3.40	6.91	28.12	-3.5%	46%	+3.4%	24
Earnings Momentum	$4,158	+6.68%	2.92	4.72	23.11	-4.2%	58%	+2.3%	24

All metrics computed from actual tracked paper-account equity (state/per_strategy_equity) through August 28, 2026. Not a backtest.

Capital Allocation · No Margin

Memory Rotation

35%

$32,215.62

Bond Rotation

5%

$4,966.26

DRAM

0%

$0.00

VNQ Reversion

0%

$0.00

Maple

20%

$14,066.18

Earnings Momentum

15%

$4,158.28

Hormuz Carry

5%

$0.00

Ndx Momentum

5%

$0.00

GPU Tilt

5%

$4,864.83

Available Cash: $16,914.42 Total Deployed: $67,229.93 / $84,144.35

Zero-allocation/deallocated positions (pending liquidation): $6,958.75

Dram vs Memory Rotation — Backtest Comparison

DRAM is positioned as a capital-preservation variant: lowest drawdown of any risk-taking strategy. Universe selection bias applies (see signals/dynamic_regime.py). Bond Rotation is backtested over its own full 2007+ history (research/bond_rotation_backtest.py); backtest windows differ per row.

Strategy	CAGR	Sharpe	Max DD	Calmar	Period
DRAM	85.5%	2.25	-13.4%	6.39	1.5y
Memory Rotation	687.6%	2.90	-35.3%	19.48	1.5y
B&H QQQ	27.4%	1.17	-22.8%	1.20	1.5y
B&H BIL	3.9%	17.61	-0.0%	358.47	1.5y

Backtest comparison (research/dynamic_backtest_results.json). The live DRAM strategy trades a different universe and rebalances on different triggers. This is a research comparison, not a live performance record.

Super-Trader

HMM Regime Overlay CURRENT POLICY

Portfolio Risk Metrics LIVE PAPER

Strategy Summary 80/20 HOLDOUT

Cumulative Equity

Current Holdings ● LIVE — Alpaca

Position History

Active Strategies

Meme Sentiment SIGNAL-ONLY / NOT VALIDATED / NO LIVE CAPITAL

Earnings Calendar SCANNER

Earnings Momentum LIVE PAPER

GPU Tilt LIVE PAPER

⚡ VIX for Compute

Live Paper Trading Performance — since July 28, 2026 LIVE PAPER

Capital Allocation · No Margin

Dram vs Memory Rotation — Backtest Comparison