Super-Trader

PAPER TRADING ONLY
Portfolio Value
$85,090.18
● LIVE — Alpaca · updated 2026-08-25 4:00 AM EST
Today's P&L
$99.75 (+0.12%)
Total Return (vs $100K)
$-14,909.82 (-14.91%)
Cash Available
$37,894.77

HMM Regime Overlay CURRENT POLICY

Regime
TRANSITIONAL
Confidence
73.3%
Memory Rotation 35% · Bond Rotation 25% · Trump Tweet 5% · DRAM 0% · Cash 35%
Regime/confidence from the latest daily snapshot; allocations resolved from current hmm_overlay policy · updated 2026-08-24 9:30 PM EST

Portfolio Risk Metrics LIVE PAPER

Sharpe
9.72
total vol risk
Sortino
27.07
downside only
Calmar
157.71
CAGR / MaxDD
Max DD
-1.0%
worst drawdown
Total Return
+8.66%
22 days live
Win Rate
76%
up days / total
Sharpe penalizes all volatility · Sortino penalizes downside only · Calmar = CAGR / |Max Drawdown|. Updated hourly from tracked paper-account equity through 2026-08-24.

Current Holdings ● LIVE — Alpaca

SymbolStrategyQtyAvg EntryCurrentMarket ValueUnrealized P&L
QQQ Bond Rotation 17.932 $713.79 $709.61 $12,724.70 $-74.88 (-0.58%)
BIL Memory Rotation 120.0276 $91.57 $91.61 $10,995.73 $4.80 (+0.04%)
DIG Memory Rotation 150.5876 $69.96 $68.20 $10,270.08 $-264.65 (-2.51%)
WPM Maple 26.2187 $138.80 $162.43 $4,258.77 $619.62 (+17.03%)
CMG Earnings Momentum 61.5141 $34.72 $37.73 $2,320.93 $185.16 (+8.67%)
ADSK Earnings Momentum 8.115 $254.85 $254.45 $2,064.86 $-3.25 (-0.16%)
BAH Earnings Momentum 27.0316 $79.01 $75.22 $2,033.32 $-102.45 (-4.80%)
EXLS Earnings Momentum 29.6567 $36.00 $37.66 $1,116.87 $49.23 (+4.61%)
LMT Earnings Momentum 1.748 $610.78 $564.14 $986.11 $-81.53 (-7.64%)
RY Maple 0.8333 $208.71 $204.02 $170.01 $-3.91 (-2.25%)
TD Maple 0.8864 $120.55 $116.55 $103.31 $-3.55 (-3.32%)
BNS Maple 0.6879 $88.59 $86.86 $59.75 $-1.19 (-1.95%)
ENB Maple 0.7207 $51.55 $50.35 $36.29 $-0.86 (-2.32%)
AEM Maple 0.1438 $196.30 $219.01 $31.50 $3.27 (+11.57%)
TRP Maple 0.3735 $64.33 $62.06 $23.18 $-0.85 (-3.53%)
Last updated 2026-08-25 4:00 AM EST · live from Alpaca paper account · “(deallocated)” = leftover position from a sleeve no longer allocated capital

Position History

Date (EST)SymbolSideQtyPriceStrategy
2026-08-24 9:31 PM DIG BUY 0.4115 $70.17 Memory Rotation
2026-08-24 3:58 PM BIL BUY 0.0241 $91.61 Memory Rotation
2026-08-24 3:58 PM DIG SELL 0.2227 $68.25 Memory Rotation
2026-08-24 3:57 PM DIG SELL 0.4703 $68.30 Memory Rotation
2026-08-24 3:56 PM DIG SELL 0.9681 $68.32 Memory Rotation
2026-08-24 12:06 PM DIG BUY 2.6142 $67.24 Memory Rotation
2026-08-24 10:14 AM INTC SELL 18.8888 $85.92 DRAM
2026-08-24 10:07 AM DIG SELL 0.2076 $68.64 Memory Rotation
2026-08-24 10:06 AM DIG SELL 0.4332 $68.76 Memory Rotation
2026-08-24 10:01 AM DIG BUY 1.2017 $68.48 Memory Rotation

Active Strategies

Allocated Sleeves · LIVE PAPER places paper-account orders; PAPER SIM places no orders
Memory Rotation LIVE PAPER
Leveraged momentum — SNDK / MU / TQQQ / DIG · Re-risk cap 25%→30% on/after 2026-08-29 only when 30Y 5-day yield change ≤ 0 bp
REBALANCE → DIG · momentum 15.93% · VIX 15.85
OFFENSIVE: DIG above SMA80 with 20d momentum=15.93%. VIX=15.9; vol-scaled weight=51.1% (20d realized vol=48.9%, target=25%); rerisk_gate: inactive until 2026-08-29, target_vol=25% · Re-risk gate: inactive until 2026-08-29, target_vol=25%
Allocation 25% · deployed $21,265.80 (25.0% of equity)
Unrealized P&L: $-259.85
Holdings: BIL $10,995.73 · DIG $10,270.08
Updated 2026-08-24 9:31 PM EST
Maple Sleeve PAPER SIM · NO ORDERS
Canadian blue-chip dividend diversification sleeve
— → ENB, TRP, RY, TD, BNS, AEM, WPM
Allocation 15% · account holdings $4,682.81 (5.5% of equity)
Unrealized P&L: +$612.53
Holdings: WPM $4,258.77 · RY $170.01 · TD $103.31 · BNS $59.75 · ENB $36.29 · AEM $31.50 · TRP $23.18
Updated 2026-08-24 9:31 PM EST
Bond Rotation PAPER SIM · NO ORDERS
Top-1 126-day momentum · 15% vol target · Yield filter: 10Y 5-day change > +15 bp rotates SPY/QQQ winners to BIL (fail-open)
— → QQQ
Yield filter: 10Y -2bp/5d <= +15bp, QQQ unchanged
Allocation 15% · account holdings $12,724.70 (15.0% of equity)
Unrealized P&L: $-74.88
Holdings: QQQ $12,724.70
Updated 2026-08-24 9:31 PM EST
VNQ Reversion PAPER SIM · NO ORDERS
REIT mean-reversion sleeve — VNQ vs BIL
HOLD
HOLD in BIL/cash: RSI14 51.06 is between 35 and 65
Allocation 5% · account holdings $0.00 (0.0% of equity)
No positions currently held — sleeve rotates in and out
Updated 2026-08-24 9:31 PM EST
Earnings Momentum LIVE PAPER
Post-earnings momentum — scanner 5:00 PM ET, GTC entries 5:05 PM, 6.5% target / 5.5% stop / 5-session time exit
LONG → ADSK
Allocation 10% · deployed $8,522.09 (10.0% of equity)
Unrealized P&L: +$47.16
Holdings: CMG $2,320.93 · ADSK $2,064.86 · BAH $2,033.32 · EXLS $1,116.87 · LMT $986.11
Updated 2026-08-24 4:46 AM EST
Signal-Only Paper · signals generated, no capital deployed
Meme ACTIVE SIGNAL-ONLY
WSB / social-mention signal scanner
Meme mania 0.0 · 0 candidates · feeds: polymarket, kalshi
Last run 2026-08-24 9:31 PM EST
Inverse Meme ACTIVE SIGNAL-ONLY
Long-only complement of the meme engine's price-confirmed WSB picks
Last run 2026-08-24 9:31 PM EST
Options ACTIVE SIGNAL-ONLY
Wheel strategy — cash-secured puts / covered calls
Last run 2026-08-24 9:31 PM EST
Trump Tweet ACTIVE NOTIFICATION ONLY
1-min Truth Social poller — NOTIFICATION ONLY: alerts sent, trading disabled 2026-08-20, no orders placed
Pending: BUY F ($750.00) · REGULAR
Last run 2026-08-24 9:31 PM EST
Inverse Crypto ACTIVE SIGNAL-ONLY
7 strategies tested — no alpha after costs
Last run 2026-08-24 9:31 PM EST
DRAM PAUSED SIGNAL-ONLY
PAUSED TRADING — signal-only paper simulation continues; Dynamic Regime-Adaptive Momentum with vol-scaled sizing + VIX-adaptive ATR trailing stop
Last run 2026-08-25 1:00 AM EST
Retired · no allocation, kept for historical context
Shipping RETIRED 0% ALLOCATION
Tanker sector rotation — INSW/NAT/FRO/SBLK/DHT/STNG · 14-day rebalance
Retired — kept for historical context
Geo Reversal RETIRED 0% ALLOCATION
Geopolitical reversal rotation — energy vs broad market on geo-risk score shifts
Retired — kept for historical context
VIX Regime RETIRED 0% ALLOCATION
VIX regime recovery basket — 80% SPY / 20% QQQ when high-vol + low VIX + bull trend
Retired — kept for historical context
Value Dip RETIRED 0% ALLOCATION
NASDAQ-100 worst performers — dynamic sourcing pipeline, 4-condition entry gate
Retired — kept for historical context
Polymarket Weather RETIRED 0% ALLOCATION
Weather prediction market signals (retired/deleted)
Retired — kept for historical context
Pre-Market Momentum RETIRED 0% ALLOCATION
Pre-market gap momentum scanner — allocation removed after live evaluation
Retired · last run 2026-08-24 10:03 AM EST

Meme Sentiment SIGNAL-ONLY / NOT VALIDATED / NO LIVE CAPITAL

Meme Mania
0.0
Feeds Used
polymarket, kalshi
Feeds Missing
reddit, twitter
TickerMeme ScoreSuggested Weight
No candidates above threshold
signal-only; not validated; no live capital · updated 2026-08-24 9:31 PM

Earnings Momentum LIVE PAPER

Trading Days Held
1 / 5
Open Legs
1 / 1
Signal
2026-08-24 4:46 AM
SymbolStatusEntryTargetStopCurrentUnrealized P&L
ADSK OPEN $254.85 $271.42 $240.83 $254.45 $-3.25 (-0.16%)
6.5% target · 5.5% stop · 5-session time exit · exit monitor 9:40 AM / 11:40 AM / 1:40 PM / 3:40 PM ET · last check 2026-08-24 3:40 AM

Live Paper Trading Performance — since July 24, 2026 LIVE PAPER

Days Live
22
Total Return
+8.66%
Sharpe
9.72
Sortino
27.07
Calmar
157.71
Max DD
-1.01%
Win Rate
76%
StrategyEquityReturnSharpeSortinoCalmarMax DDWin RateBest DayDays
Maple $4,683 +37.53% 7.83 20.52 1116.08 -3.4% 68% +9.5% 22
Earnings Momentum $8,522 +14.78% 7.65 14.13 187.50 -2.1% 64% +2.9% 22
Memory Rotation $21,266 +4.88% 2.55 5.37 19.20 -3.8% 55% +4.2% 22
Bond Rotation $12,735 +3.21% 1.77 4.03 12.46 -3.5% 36% +3.4% 22
All metrics computed from actual tracked paper-account equity (state/per_strategy_equity) through August 24, 2026. Not a backtest.

Capital Allocation · No Margin

Memory Rotation
25%
$21,265.80
Bond Rotation
15%
$12,724.70
DRAM
0%
$0.00
VNQ Reversion
5%
$0.00
Maple
15%
$4,682.81
Earnings Momentum
10%
$8,522.09
Available Cash: $37,894.77 Total Deployed: $47,195.40 / $85,090.18

Dram vs Memory Rotation — Backtest Comparison

DRAM is positioned as a capital-preservation variant: lowest drawdown of any risk-taking strategy. Universe selection bias applies (see signals/dynamic_regime.py). Bond Rotation is backtested over its own full 2007+ history (research/bond_rotation_backtest.py); backtest windows differ per row.
StrategyCAGRSharpeMax DDCalmarPeriod
DRAM85.5%2.25-13.4%6.391.5y
Memory Rotation687.6%2.90-35.3%19.481.5y
B&H QQQ27.4%1.17-22.8%1.201.5y
B&H BIL3.9%17.61-0.0%358.471.5y
Backtest comparison (research/dynamic_backtest_results.json). The live DRAM strategy trades a different universe and rebalances on different triggers. This is a research comparison, not a live performance record.
All trading is PAPER ONLY — no real capital at risk.
Generated 2026-08-25 04:00 EST