| Timestamp | Symbol | Action | Mode | Notional | Price | Type | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 14:45:04 | REBALANCE | 0 | $0.00 | DRY RUN | dry_run_rebalance |
| Agent | Symbol | Action | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| Research | Risk score: 0 | VIX=19.36, vix_status=ok, recession_prob=None%, polymarket_status=error | |
| Strategy | memory_rotation REBALANCE | OFFENSIVE: MU above SMA80 with 20d momentum=40.26%. VIX=19.4 | |
| Risk | APPROVED | OK; LIQ_OVERLAY_normal_widen_mult_0.5 | |
| Executor | DRY RUN dry_run_rebalance | OFFENSIVE: MU above SMA80 with 20d momentum=40.26%. VIX=19.4 |
| Symbol | Prior Return | RSI | VIX | Prior Close | Drop Threshold | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSFT | -3.18% | 9.3 | 17.3 | $367.34 | -5.00% | NO_SIGNAL |
| AMZN | -4.75% | 30.2 | 17.3 | $232.79 | -5.00% | NO_SIGNAL |
| GOOGL | -4.99% | 36.4 | 17.3 | $349.68 | -5.00% | NO_SIGNAL |
| META | -2.32% | 40.1 | 17.3 | $563.85 | -5.00% | NO_SIGNAL |
| NVDA | -0.97% | 38.5 | 17.3 | $208.65 | -5.00% | NO_SIGNAL |
| TSLA | +1.14% | 46.1 | 17.3 | $405.05 | -5.00% | NO_SIGNAL |
| AMD | +2.65% | 55.9 | 17.3 | $551.63 | -5.00% | NO_SIGNAL |
| AVGO | -4.52% | 36.7 | 17.3 | $392.13 | -5.00% | NO_SIGNAL |
| NFLX | -5.82% | 17.4 | 17.3 | $72.88 | -5.00% | NO_SIGNAL |
| CRM | -1.09% | 0.0 | 17.3 | $150.12 | -5.00% | NO_SIGNAL |
| ADBE | -0.13% | 6.1 | 17.3 | $194.90 | -5.00% | NO_SIGNAL |
| INTC | +5.19% | 67.6 | 17.3 | $140.94 | -5.00% | NO_SIGNAL |
| MU | +6.82% | 59.9 | 17.3 | $1211.38 | -6.00% | NO_SIGNAL |
| QCOM | -1.86% | 47.7 | 17.3 | $221.90 | -5.00% | NO_SIGNAL |
| TXN | +2.92% | 65.4 | 17.3 | $332.28 | -5.00% | NO_SIGNAL |
| MRVL | -0.88% | 63.2 | 17.3 | $307.86 | -5.00% | NO_SIGNAL |
| SMCI | +15.66% | 37.1 | 17.3 | $35.46 | -5.00% | NO_SIGNAL |
| ASML | -0.02% | 67.3 | 17.3 | $1929.25 | -5.00% | NO_SIGNAL |
| TSM | +1.20% | 59.1 | 17.3 | $467.67 | -5.00% | NO_SIGNAL |
| ARM | -7.22% | 49.8 | 17.3 | $407.72 | -5.00% | NO_SIGNAL |
| DELL | +2.25% | 37.5 | 17.3 | $418.71 | -5.00% | NO_SIGNAL |
| ANET | +2.88% | 53.1 | 17.3 | $174.56 | -5.00% | NO_SIGNAL |
| PLTR | -6.98% | 14.7 | 17.3 | $119.50 | -5.00% | NO_SIGNAL |
| COIN | +0.97% | 38.1 | 17.3 | $164.84 | -3.00% | NO_SIGNAL |
| MSTR | -2.73% | 27.9 | 17.3 | $109.46 | -5.00% | NO_SIGNAL |
| MARA | +4.43% | 50.0 | 17.3 | $14.85 | -5.00% | NO_SIGNAL |
| RIOT | +1.89% | 51.7 | 17.3 | $28.63 | -5.00% | NO_SIGNAL |
| PYPL | -0.40% | 37.0 | 17.3 | $42.34 | -5.00% | NO_SIGNAL |
| SHOP | -0.80% | 30.2 | 17.3 | $107.98 | -5.00% | NO_SIGNAL |
| UBER | -0.29% | 42.8 | 17.3 | $71.43 | -5.00% | NO_SIGNAL |
| ABNB | -2.26% | 52.3 | 17.3 | $139.19 | -5.00% | NO_SIGNAL |
| RBLX | -8.27% | 50.5 | 17.3 | $47.27 | -5.00% | NO_SIGNAL |
| SNAP | -0.64% | 28.1 | 17.3 | $4.63 | -5.00% | NO_SIGNAL |
| PINS | -3.80% | 36.9 | 17.3 | $19.50 | -5.00% | NO_SIGNAL |
| DKNG | -2.80% | 47.1 | 17.3 | $25.65 | -5.00% | NO_SIGNAL |
| ROKU | -2.08% | 55.3 | 17.3 | $135.20 | -5.00% | NO_SIGNAL |
| AFRM | -2.33% | 49.1 | 17.3 | $72.20 | -5.00% | NO_SIGNAL |
| SOFI | -4.52% | 41.0 | 17.3 | $17.10 | -5.00% | NO_SIGNAL |
| DASH | -0.80% | 55.1 | 17.3 | $172.08 | -5.00% | NO_SIGNAL |
| NET | -2.54% | 22.3 | 17.3 | $218.38 | -5.00% | NO_SIGNAL |
| DDOG | -0.73% | 13.2 | 17.3 | $221.37 | -5.00% | NO_SIGNAL |
| SNOW | -2.45% | 17.0 | 17.3 | $226.59 | -5.00% | NO_SIGNAL |
| CRWD | -1.38% | 26.9 | 17.3 | $675.44 | -5.00% | NO_SIGNAL |
| PANW | -0.48% | 41.0 | 17.3 | $286.40 | -5.00% | NO_SIGNAL |
| SOXL | +7.69% | 58.7 | 17.3 | $300.77 | -5.00% | NO_SIGNAL |
| TQQQ | -0.35% | 46.8 | 17.3 | $82.58 | -5.00% | NO_SIGNAL |
| XLE | +1.26% | 37.1 | 17.3 | $54.06 | -5.00% | NO_SIGNAL |
| ARKK | -2.19% | 44.6 | 17.3 | $78.43 | -5.00% | NO_SIGNAL |
| Ticker | Meme Score | Suggested Weight |
|---|---|---|
| No candidates | ||
| # | Criterion | Threshold | Value | Status | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Forward paper track >= 60 trading days | >= 60 days with fills | 0 | โ FAIL | 0 filled days / 1 total snapshots |
| 2 | Paper-sleeve Sharpe > 1.0 (net of costs) | > 1.0 | 0.0 | โณ INSUFFICIENT DATA | INSUFFICIENT DATA: only 0 filled day(s); need a real return series before this can be assessed |
| 3 | Sleeve max drawdown > -25% | > -25.0% | 0.0 | โณ INSUFFICIENT DATA | INSUFFICIENT DATA: only 0 filled day(s); need a real return series before this can be assessed |
| 4 | Beats random-cashtag control basket (risk-adjusted) | sleeve_rar > control_rar | {"sleeve_rar": 0.0, "control_rar": 0.0} | โณ INSUFFICIENT DATA | INSUFFICIENT DATA: only 0 filled day(s); need a real return series before this can be assessed |
| EST Date | Sleeve Candidates | Control Basket | Sleeve Return | Control Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-08-01 | โ | BB, CLOV, PLTR, HOOD, NOK | โ | 6.73% |
| 2021-08-02 | โ | GO, TSLA, AMC, GME, CAN | โ | -4.19% |
| 2021-08-03 | โ | RH, TD, ARE, NIO, GME | โ | 1.08% |
| 2021-08-04 | HOOD | AMC, AAPL, GME, TSLA, HOOD | -12.60% | -1.57% |
| 2021-08-05 | AAPL | GME, AMC, AAPL, NVDA, RH | -0.24% | 0.79% |
| 2021-08-06 | โ | XELA, TD, AAPL, AMC, GEO | โ | -2.45% |
| 2021-08-07 | AMC, GME | USD, IQ, AMC, TSLA, GME | 0.14% | -0.52% |
| 2021-08-08 | โ | DIS, AMC, NFLX, GME | โ | 0.18% |
| 2021-08-09 | โ | AAPL, AMC, GME, TSLA, CLOV | โ | -5.68% |
| 2021-08-10 | MVST | SPY, USD, NEXT, GME, III | -14.37% | 0.21% |
| 2021-08-11 | TSLA | GME, AMC, AAPL, TSLA, AMD | 1.47% | 3.22% |
| 2021-08-12 | โ | BB, CLOV, GME, RH, PTB | โ | -1.59% |
| 2021-08-13 | โ | GME, TSLA, AMC, CLOV | โ | 1.02% |
| 2021-08-14 | NVDA, MSFT | NVDA, MSFT, AMC, GME, ALL | -2.01% | 1.51% |
| 2021-08-15 | โ | MEGA, WMT, GME, CSCO, HD | โ | -0.53% |
| 2021-08-16 | โ | TSLA, AMC, GME, NVDA, CLOV | โ | -0.50% |
| 2021-08-17 | โ | PLAY, GME, AN, ITM, SNDL | โ | -3.46% |
| 2021-08-18 | AAPL | AMZN, HOOD, PFE, GME, TGT | 2.12% | 0.04% |
| 2021-08-19 | โ | TSLA, AMZN, AMC, BABA, SNDL | โ | 2.97% |
| 2021-08-20 | โ | MSFT, AMC, TSLA, NVDA, GME | โ | 12.53% |
| 2021-08-21 | โ | GME, AMD, NFLX, AMC, NVDA | โ | 12.61% |
| 2021-08-22 | โ | MOON, AMC, BB, GME, NVDA | โ | 15.74% |
| 2021-08-23 | NVDA | TSLA, AMC, ON, GME, NVDA | 2.05% | 8.39% |
| 2021-08-24 | BB, GME, AMC | TSLA, GO, BB, NVDA, MOON | -4.75% | -0.85% |
| 2021-08-25 | โ | NVDA, TSLA, AAPL, AMC, GME | โ | -0.02% |
| 2021-08-26 | โ | TSLA, AMD, AMC, GME, NVDA | โ | 3.55% |
| 2021-08-27 | โ | TSLA, NVDA, AMC, WKHS, GME | โ | 3.87% |
| 2021-08-28 | BBIG | GME, ITM, AMC, AAPL, NVDA | -10.50% | 3.76% |
| 2021-08-29 | โ | AAPL, GME, AMC, GSAT | โ | 1.05% |
| 2021-08-30 | GSAT | GSAT, AAPL, EDIT, GME, AMC | -6.50% | -0.05% |
| 2021-08-31 | โ | TSLA, AMC, AAPL, GME | โ | -2.63% |
| EST Date | Meme Picks (rejected) | Inverse Picks (bought) | Meme Return | Inverse Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-08-01 | โ | AAPL, AMC, AMD, AMZN | โ | 0.54% |
| 2021-08-02 | โ | AAPL, AMC, AMD, BABA | โ | -1.09% |
| 2021-08-03 | โ | AA, AABB, AAPL, ALL | โ | -0.38% |
| 2021-08-04 | HOOD | AAPL, AM, AMC, AMD | -12.60% | -0.61% |
| 2021-08-05 | AAPL | ALL, AMC, AMCX, AMD | -0.24% | 0.55% |
| 2021-08-06 | โ | AAPL, AMC, CLOV, GEO | โ | -1.14% |
| 2021-08-07 | AMC, GME | CLNE, CNG, IEX, III | 0.14% | 2.38% |
| 2021-08-08 | โ | AAPL, AMC, AMD, CLOV | โ | -0.28% |
| 2021-08-09 | โ | AAPL, ALL, AMC, CLOV | โ | -4.79% |
| 2021-08-10 | MVST | AAPL, AMC, BB, CL | -14.37% | 0.52% |
| 2021-08-11 | TSLA | AAPL, AMC, AMD, AMZN | 1.47% | -1.84% |
| 2021-08-12 | โ | AM, AMC, BB, BOXL | โ | -2.21% |
| 2021-08-13 | โ | AMC, BAC, BB, CLOV | โ | -0.94% |
| 2021-08-14 | NVDA, MSFT | AAP, ADI, ALL, AMAT | -2.01% | -1.73% |
| 2021-08-15 | โ | AMC, ANY, APPS, BIDU | โ | -1.51% |
| 2021-08-16 | โ | AMC, AMZN, BB, CLOV | โ | -5.05% |
| 2021-08-17 | โ | AMC, AN, CLOV, GME | โ | -2.88% |
| 2021-08-18 | AAPL | AM, AMC, AMD, AMZN | 2.12% | 0.73% |
| 2021-08-19 | โ | AAPL, ALOT, AMC, AMZN | โ | 2.84% |
| 2021-08-20 | โ | AAPL, AMC, AMZN, BB | โ | 6.38% |
| 2021-08-21 | โ | AMC, AMD, GME, MSFT | โ | 9.60% |
| 2021-08-22 | โ | AMC, BB, BBIG, GME | โ | 10.68% |
| 2021-08-23 | NVDA | AAPL, ALL, AMC, AMZN | 2.05% | 2.42% |
| 2021-08-24 | BB, GME, AMC | ABNB, AG, ALL, AMD | -4.75% | -1.12% |
| 2021-08-25 | โ | AAPL, AMC, ARE, ASTS | โ | 1.40% |
| 2021-08-26 | โ | AAPL, AB, ALL, AMC | โ | 1.17% |
| 2021-08-27 | โ | AAPL, AMC, ATER, BABA | โ | -3.01% |
| 2021-08-28 | BBIG | AAPL, AMC, BB, BBBY | -10.50% | -0.01% |
| 2021-08-29 | โ | AAPL, AMC, AMT, ASTS | โ | -1.99% |
| 2021-08-30 | GSAT | AAPL, AM, AMC, AMZN | -6.50% | 2.18% |
| 2021-08-31 | โ | AAPL, AMC, AMZN, ATS | โ | 0.97% |
| Walk-Forward Window | Return | Sharpe |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | -9.67% | -0.394 |
| 2023 | 9.03% | 0.609 |
| 2024 | 19.63% | 1.309 |
| 2025 | 54.40% | 3.134 |
| 2026 | 14.68% | 1.508 |
| Symbol | Strategy | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Profit Factor | Win Rate | Calmar | Final Capital | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BASKET | Momentum Rotation (DEPLOYED, OOS) | 13.39% | 0.93 | -27.56% | 1.205 | 39.43% | 0.49 | $254.60K | 25.8y |
| QQQ | Buy & Hold (benchmark, OOS) | 8.85% | 0.46 | -80.45% | 1.090 | 54.56% | 0.11 | $88.81K | 25.8y |
| QQQ | Old Hybrid Deluxe (honest, was 'Sharpe 2.9') | 5.30% | 0.53 | -34.75% | 1.126 | 33.60% | 0.15 | $40.76K | 27.2y |