Super-Trader

PAPER TRADING ONLY
Last updated 2026-08-25 16:00 EST · data as of 2026-08-24
Portfolio Value
$84,862.81
● LIVE — Alpaca · updated 2026-08-25 4:00 PM EST
Today's P&L
$-127.62 (-0.15%)
Total Return (vs $100K)
$-15,137.19 (-15.14%)
Cash Available
$31,437.29

HMM Regime Overlay CURRENT POLICY

Regime
TRANSITIONAL
Confidence
73.3%
Memory Rotation 35% · Bond Rotation 25% · Trump Tweet 5% · DRAM 0% · Cash 35%
Regime/confidence from the latest daily snapshot; allocations resolved from current hmm_overlay policy · updated 2026-08-24 9:30 PM EST

Portfolio Risk Metrics LIVE PAPER

Sharpe
13.47
total vol risk
Sortino
50.02
downside only
Calmar
698.88
CAGR / MaxDD
Max DD
-0.4%
worst drawdown
Total Return
+11.88%
21 days live
Win Rate
85%
up days / total
Sharpe penalizes all volatility · Sortino penalizes downside only · Calmar = CAGR / |Max Drawdown|. Updated hourly from tracked paper-account equity through 2026-08-24.

Current Holdings ● LIVE — Alpaca

SymbolStrategyQtyAvg EntryCurrentMarket ValueUnrealized P&L
QQQ Bond Rotation 17.932 $713.79 $710.54 $12,741.37 $-58.20 (-0.46%)
DIG Memory Rotation 163.1254 $69.76 $66.10 $10,782.59 $-596.56 (-5.24%)
BIL Memory Rotation 113.3185 $91.57 $91.61 $10,381.12 $4.53 (+0.04%)
AEM Maple 19.6348 $215.69 $224.11 $4,400.36 $165.38 (+3.91%)
WPM Maple 26.2187 $138.80 $163.72 $4,292.52 $653.37 (+17.95%)
ADSK Ndx Momentum 10.1299 $254.03 $251.21 $2,544.73 $-28.61 (-1.11%)
CMG Earnings Momentum 61.5141 $34.72 $37.45 $2,303.70 $167.93 (+7.86%)
BAH Earnings Momentum 27.0316 $79.01 $73.83 $1,995.75 $-140.02 (-6.56%)
EXLS Earnings Momentum 29.6567 $36.00 $37.45 $1,110.64 $43.00 (+4.03%)
LMT Earnings Momentum 1.748 $610.78 $556.58 $972.89 $-94.75 (-8.87%)
VSXY Earnings Momentum 5.8087 $86.98 $87.36 $507.45 $2.21 (+0.44%)
DG Earnings Momentum 4.0531 $124.65 $122.58 $496.83 $-8.41 (-1.66%)
CRM Earnings Momentum 2.4327 $207.68 $203.25 $494.45 $-10.78 (-2.13%)
RY Maple 0.8333 $208.71 $207.09 $172.57 $-1.35 (-0.78%)
TD Maple 0.8864 $120.55 $119.07 $105.55 $-1.32 (-1.23%)
BNS Maple 0.6879 $88.59 $93.10 $64.04 $3.10 (+5.09%)
ENB Maple 0.7207 $51.55 $49.74 $35.85 $-1.30 (-3.51%)
TRP Maple 0.3735 $64.33 $61.85 $23.10 $-0.93 (-3.85%)
Last updated 2026-08-25 4:00 PM EST · live from Alpaca paper account · “(deallocated)” = leftover position from a sleeve no longer allocated capital

Position History

Date (EST)SymbolSideQtyPriceStrategy
2026-08-25 3:56 PM DIG BUY 0.4722 $66.30 Memory Rotation
2026-08-25 12:06 PM BIL BUY 0.196 $91.62 Memory Rotation
2026-08-25 10:00 AM DIG BUY 1.0591 $66.82 Memory Rotation
2026-08-25 9:34 AM DIG BUY 11.0064 $67.45 Memory Rotation
2026-08-25 9:34 AM BIL BUY 0.1562 $91.62 Memory Rotation
2026-08-25 9:34 AM BIL SELL 7.0613 $91.61 Memory Rotation
2026-08-25 9:33 AM CRM BUY 2.4327 $207.68 Earnings Momentum
2026-08-25 9:33 AM DG BUY 4.0531 $124.65 Earnings Momentum
2026-08-25 9:33 AM VSXY BUY 5.8087 $86.98 Earnings Momentum
2026-08-25 9:32 AM ADSK BUY 2.0149 $250.75 Ndx Momentum

Active Strategies

Allocated Sleeves · LIVE PAPER places paper-account orders; PAPER SIM places no orders
Memory Rotation LIVE PAPER
Leveraged momentum — SNDK / MU / TQQQ / DIG · Re-risk cap 25%→30% on/after 2026-08-29 only when 30Y 5-day yield change ≤ 0 bp
REBALANCE → DIG · momentum 15.93% · VIX 15.85
OFFENSIVE: DIG above SMA80 with 20d momentum=15.93%. VIX=15.9; vol-scaled weight=51.1% (20d realized vol=48.9%, target=25%); rerisk_gate: inactive until 2026-08-29, target_vol=25% · Re-risk gate: inactive until 2026-08-29, target_vol=25%
Allocation 25% · deployed $21,163.70 (24.9% of equity)
Unrealized P&L: $-592.04
Holdings: DIG $10,782.59 · BIL $10,381.12
Updated 2026-08-24 9:31 PM EST
Maple Sleeve PAPER SIM · NO ORDERS
Canadian blue-chip dividend diversification sleeve
— → ENB, TRP, RY, TD, BNS, AEM, WPM
Allocation 15% · account holdings $9,093.99 (10.7% of equity)
Unrealized P&L: +$816.96
Holdings: AEM $4,400.36 · WPM $4,292.52 · RY $172.57 · TD $105.55 · BNS $64.04 · ENB $35.85 · TRP $23.10
Updated 2026-08-24 9:31 PM EST
Bond Rotation PAPER SIM · NO ORDERS
Top-1 126-day momentum · 15% vol target · Yield filter: 10Y 5-day change > +15 bp rotates SPY/QQQ winners to BIL (fail-open)
— → QQQ
Yield filter: 10Y -2bp/5d <= +15bp, QQQ unchanged
Allocation 15% · account holdings $12,741.37 (15.0% of equity)
Unrealized P&L: $-58.20
Holdings: QQQ $12,741.37
Updated 2026-08-24 9:31 PM EST
VNQ Reversion PAPER SIM · NO ORDERS
REIT mean-reversion sleeve — VNQ vs BIL
HOLD
HOLD in BIL/cash: RSI14 51.06 is between 35 and 65
Allocation 5% · account holdings $0.00 (0.0% of equity)
No positions currently held — sleeve rotates in and out
Updated 2026-08-24 9:31 PM EST
Earnings Momentum LIVE PAPER
Post-earnings momentum — scanner 5:00 PM ET, GTC entries 5:05 PM, 6.5% target / 5.5% stop / 5-session time exit
LONG → VSXY, DG, CRM, ADSK
Allocation 10% · deployed $7,881.72 (9.3% of equity)
Unrealized P&L: $-40.81
Holdings: CMG $2,303.70 · BAH $1,995.75 · EXLS $1,110.64 · LMT $972.89 · VSXY $507.45 · DG $496.83 · CRM $494.45
Updated 2026-08-25 9:32 AM EST
Signal-Only Paper · signals generated, no capital deployed
Meme ACTIVE SIGNAL-ONLY
WSB / social-mention signal scanner
Meme mania 0.0 · 0 candidates · feeds: polymarket, kalshi
Last run 2026-08-24 9:31 PM EST
Inverse Meme ACTIVE SIGNAL-ONLY
Long-only complement of the meme engine's price-confirmed WSB picks
Last run 2026-08-24 9:31 PM EST
Options ACTIVE SIGNAL-ONLY
Wheel strategy — cash-secured puts / covered calls
Last run 2026-08-24 9:31 PM EST
Trump Tweet ACTIVE NOTIFICATION ONLY
1-min Truth Social poller — NOTIFICATION ONLY: alerts sent, trading disabled 2026-08-20, no orders placed
No pending trade
Last run 2026-08-25 2:36 PM EST
Inverse Crypto ACTIVE SIGNAL-ONLY
7 strategies tested — no alpha after costs
Last run 2026-08-24 9:31 PM EST
DRAM PAUSED SIGNAL-ONLY
PAUSED TRADING — signal-only paper simulation continues; Dynamic Regime-Adaptive Momentum with vol-scaled sizing + VIX-adaptive ATR trailing stop
Last run 2026-08-25 8:00 AM EST
Retired · no allocation, kept for historical context
Shipping RETIRED 0% ALLOCATION
Tanker sector rotation — INSW/NAT/FRO/SBLK/DHT/STNG · 14-day rebalance
Retired — kept for historical context
Geo Reversal RETIRED 0% ALLOCATION
Geopolitical reversal rotation — energy vs broad market on geo-risk score shifts
Retired — kept for historical context
VIX Regime RETIRED 0% ALLOCATION
VIX regime recovery basket — 80% SPY / 20% QQQ when high-vol + low VIX + bull trend
Retired — kept for historical context
Value Dip RETIRED 0% ALLOCATION
NASDAQ-100 worst performers — dynamic sourcing pipeline, 4-condition entry gate
Retired — kept for historical context
Polymarket Weather RETIRED 0% ALLOCATION
Weather prediction market signals (retired/deleted)
Retired — kept for historical context
Pre-Market Momentum RETIRED 0% ALLOCATION
Pre-market gap momentum scanner — allocation removed after live evaluation
Retired · last run 2026-08-25 9:15 AM EST

Meme Sentiment SIGNAL-ONLY / NOT VALIDATED / NO LIVE CAPITAL

Meme Mania
0.0
Feeds Used
polymarket, kalshi
Feeds Missing
reddit, twitter
TickerMeme ScoreSuggested Weight
No candidates above threshold
signal-only; not validated; no live capital · updated 2026-08-24 9:31 PM

Earnings Momentum LIVE PAPER

Trading Days Held
0 / 5
Open Legs
4 / 4
Signal
2026-08-25 9:32 AM
SymbolStatusEntryTargetStopCurrentUnrealized P&L
VSXY OPEN $86.98 $92.63 $82.20 $87.36 $2.21 (+0.44%)
DG OPEN $124.65 $132.76 $117.80 $122.58 $-8.41 (-1.66%)
CRM OPEN $207.68 $221.18 $196.26 $203.25 $-10.78 (-2.13%)
ADSK OPEN $250.75 $267.05 $236.96 $251.21 $-28.61 (-1.11%)
6.5% target · 5.5% stop · 5-session time exit · exit monitor 9:40 AM / 11:40 AM / 1:40 PM / 3:40 PM ET · last check 2026-08-25 3:40 AM

Live Paper Trading Performance — since July 27, 2026 LIVE PAPER

Last updated August 24, 2026 · page generated August 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM ET
Days Live
21
Total Return
+11.88%
Sharpe
13.47
Sortino
50.02
Calmar
698.88
Max DD
-0.41%
Win Rate
85%
StrategyEquityReturnSharpeSortinoCalmarMax DDWin RateBest DayDays
Maple $9,094 +41.49% 8.50 34.07 1864.42 -3.4% 76% +10.1% 21
Earnings Momentum $10,426 +11.13% 6.14 10.74 93.74 -2.7% 57% +3.1% 21
Memory Rotation $21,164 +7.78% 3.97 9.33 38.34 -3.8% 57% +4.6% 21
Bond Rotation $12,742 +3.53% 1.98 4.49 14.74 -3.5% 38% +3.4% 21
All metrics computed from actual tracked paper-account equity (state/per_strategy_equity) through August 24, 2026. Not a backtest.

Capital Allocation · No Margin

Memory Rotation
25%
$21,163.70
Bond Rotation
15%
$12,741.37
DRAM
0%
$0.00
VNQ Reversion
5%
$0.00
Maple
15%
$9,093.99
Earnings Momentum
10%
$7,881.72
Ndx Momentum
10%
$2,544.73
Hormuz Carry
5%
$0.00
Available Cash: $31,437.29 Total Deployed: $53,425.52 / $84,862.81

Dram vs Memory Rotation — Backtest Comparison

DRAM is positioned as a capital-preservation variant: lowest drawdown of any risk-taking strategy. Universe selection bias applies (see signals/dynamic_regime.py). Bond Rotation is backtested over its own full 2007+ history (research/bond_rotation_backtest.py); backtest windows differ per row.
StrategyCAGRSharpeMax DDCalmarPeriod
DRAM85.5%2.25-13.4%6.391.5y
Memory Rotation687.6%2.90-35.3%19.481.5y
B&H QQQ27.4%1.17-22.8%1.201.5y
B&H BIL3.9%17.61-0.0%358.471.5y
Backtest comparison (research/dynamic_backtest_results.json). The live DRAM strategy trades a different universe and rebalances on different triggers. This is a research comparison, not a live performance record.
All trading is PAPER ONLY — no real capital at risk.
Generated 2026-08-25 16:00 EST