Super-Trader

PAPER TRADING ONLY
Last updated 2026-08-27 13:00 EST · data as of 2026-08-26
Portfolio Value
$84,846.99
● LIVE — Alpaca · updated 2026-08-27 1:00 PM EST
Today's P&L
$123.51 (+0.15%)
Total Return (vs $100K)
$-15,153.01 (-15.15%)
Cash Available
$22,491.25

HMM Regime Overlay CURRENT POLICY

Regime
LOW-VOL
Confidence
79.1%
Memory Rotation 35% · Bond Rotation 25% · Trump Tweet 5% · DRAM 0% · Cash 35%
Regime/confidence from the latest daily snapshot; allocations resolved from current hmm_overlay policy · updated 2026-08-26 9:30 PM EST

Portfolio Risk Metrics LIVE PAPER

Sharpe
4.22
total vol risk
Sortino
8.74
downside only
Calmar
36.85
CAGR / MaxDD
Max DD
-3.2%
worst drawdown
Total Return
+7.35%
23 days live
Trade Win Rate
65%
69 wins / 106 closed
Sharpe penalizes all volatility · Sortino penalizes downside only · Calmar = CAGR / |Max Drawdown|. Updated hourly from tracked paper-account equity through 2026-08-26.

Strategy Summary 80/20 HOLDOUT

Chronological split by exit date · the final holdout is excluded from parameter optimization.
Full Sample 106 closed round-trips
Net Profit
$-15,286.98
all closed trades
Win Rate
65.09%
69 wins / 106 closed
Profit Factor
0.38
gross profit / gross loss
# of Trades
106
closed round-trips
Max Drawdown
$20,366.09
peak-to-trough decline
Avg Return
$-144.22
mean P&L per trade
Out-of-Sample · Held Back 22 of 106 (20.8% of sample)
Avg S/Trade
$-9.28▲ $170.28
OOS mean P&L
Win Rate
72.73%▲ 9.6pp
16 wins / 22 OOS
Profit Factor
0.78▲ 0.41
OOS gross profit / loss
Drawdown/Profit
N/A— N/A
OOS drawdown / net profit
Total Trades
22▼ 62
held-back round-trips
Edge Decay
▲ 111.07%
profit factor vs in-sample
small sample, deltas may be noisy
⚠ Fewer than 30 out-of-sample trades; results may not be statistically meaningful.

Cumulative Equity

In-sample Out-of-sample
train / test

Current Holdings ● LIVE — Alpaca

SymbolStrategyQtyAvg EntryCurrentMarket ValueUnrealized P&L
BIL Memory Rotation 219.953 $91.60 $91.63 $20,154.71 $6.67 (+0.03%)
QQQ Bond Rotation 17.932 $713.79 $720.05 $12,911.91 $112.33 (+0.88%)
MU Memory Rotation 8.5497 $949.40 $911.65 $7,794.36 $-322.75 (-3.98%)
AEM Maple 19.6348 $215.69 $215.76 $4,236.41 $1.43 (+0.03%)
BNS Maple 45.5999 $94.31 $92.79 $4,231.22 $-69.42 (-1.61%)
WPM Maple 26.2187 $138.80 $158.51 $4,155.93 $516.77 (+14.20%)
ADSK — 10.1299 $254.03 $271.07 $2,745.96 $172.62 (+6.71%)
BAH Earnings Momentum 27.0316 $79.01 $75.01 $2,027.64 $-108.13 (-5.06%)
EXLS Earnings Momentum 29.6567 $36.00 $38.09 $1,129.47 $61.83 (+5.79%)
LMT Earnings Momentum 1.748 $610.78 $563.68 $985.30 $-82.34 (-7.71%)
CRM — 2.4327 $207.68 $248.50 $604.53 $99.30 (+19.66%)
DG — 4.0531 $124.65 $128.70 $521.64 $16.40 (+3.25%)
VSXY — 5.8087 $86.98 $89.74 $521.27 $16.03 (+3.17%)
RY Maple 0.8333 $208.71 $203.64 $169.70 $-4.22 (-2.43%)
TD Maple 0.8864 $120.55 $119.85 $106.24 $-0.62 (-0.58%)
ENB Maple 0.7207 $51.55 $50.05 $36.07 $-1.08 (-2.90%)
TRP Maple 0.3735 $64.33 $62.20 $23.23 $-0.79 (-3.31%)
Last updated 2026-08-27 1:00 PM EST · live from Alpaca paper account · “(deallocated)” = leftover position from a sleeve no longer allocated capital

Position History

Date (EST)SymbolSideQtyPriceStrategy
2026-08-27 9:35 AM BIL BUY 52.8564 $91.64 Memory Rotation
2026-08-27 9:34 AM MU BUY 8.5497 $949.40 Memory Rotation
2026-08-27 9:33 AM DIG SELL 218.783 $66.40 Memory Rotation
2026-08-27 9:15 AM BNS BUY 44.912 $94.40 Maple
2026-08-26 11:40 AM CMG SELL 61.5141 $37.32 Earnings Momentum
2026-08-26 9:32 AM DIG BUY 55.6577 $65.41 Memory Rotation
2026-08-26 9:32 AM BIL BUY 53.2896 $91.63 Memory Rotation
2026-08-25 9:31 PM BIL BUY 0.4885 $91.63 Memory Rotation
2026-08-25 3:56 PM DIG BUY 0.4722 $66.30 Memory Rotation
2026-08-25 12:06 PM BIL BUY 0.196 $91.62 Memory Rotation

Active Strategies

Allocated Sleeves · LIVE PAPER places paper-account orders; PAPER SIM places no orders
Memory Rotation LIVE PAPER
Leveraged momentum — SNDK / MU / TQQQ / DIG · Re-risk cap 25%→30% on/after 2026-08-29 only when 30Y 5-day yield change ≤ 0 bp
REBALANCE → MU · momentum 26.98% · VIX 15.21
OFFENSIVE: MU above SMA80 with 20d momentum=26.98%. VIX=15.2; vol-scaled weight=28.7% (20d realized vol=87.1%, target=25%); rerisk_gate: inactive until 2026-08-29, target_vol=25% · Re-risk gate: inactive until 2026-08-29, target_vol=25%
Allocation 35% · deployed $27,949.07 (32.9% of equity)
Unrealized P&L: $-316.08
Holdings: BIL $20,154.71 · MU $7,794.36
Updated 2026-08-26 9:31 PM EST
Maple Sleeve PAPER SIM · NO ORDERS
Canadian blue-chip dividend diversification sleeve
— → ENB, TRP, RY, TD, BNS, AEM, WPM
Allocation 20% · account holdings $12,958.79 (15.3% of equity)
Unrealized P&L: +$442.07
Holdings: AEM $4,236.41 · BNS $4,231.22 · WPM $4,155.93 · RY $169.70 · TD $106.24 · ENB $36.07 · TRP $23.23
Updated 2026-08-26 9:31 PM EST
Bond Rotation LIVE PAPER
Top-1 126-day momentum · 15% vol target · Yield filter: 10Y 5-day change > +15 bp rotates SPY/QQQ winners to BIL (fail-open)
— → QQQ
Yield filter: 10Y +1.1bp/5d <= +15bp, QQQ unchanged
Allocation 15% · deployed $12,911.91 (15.2% of equity)
Unrealized P&L: +$112.33
Holdings: QQQ $12,911.91
Updated 2026-08-26 9:31 PM EST
VNQ Reversion PAPER SIM · NO ORDERS
REIT mean-reversion sleeve — VNQ vs BIL
HOLD
HOLD in BIL/cash: RSI14 55.41 is between 35 and 65
Allocation 5% · account holdings $0.00 (0.0% of equity)
No positions currently held — sleeve rotates in and out
Updated 2026-08-26 9:31 PM EST
Earnings Momentum LIVE PAPER
Post-earnings momentum — scanner 5:00 PM ET, GTC entries 5:05 PM, 6.5% target / 5.5% stop / 5-session time exit
LONG → GEHC, CMG
Allocation 15% · deployed $4,142.42 (4.9% of equity)
Unrealized P&L: $-128.63
Holdings: BAH $2,027.64 · EXLS $1,129.47 · LMT $985.30
Updated 2026-08-21 5:05 PM EST
GPU Tilt PAPER SIM · NO ORDERS
H100 daily $/GPU-hour (Ornn OCPI) leads semiconductor ETFs by ~1 month (Granger p=0.0017 for SOXX). Z-score gated daily signal — OFFENSIVE=60% SOXX/40% SMH, DEFENSIVE=BIL.
DEFENSIVE → BIL
GPU tilt OFF: H100 mom=-1.5% Z=-2.03 5d_avg=-1.23% → cash/BIL
Allocation 5% · account holdings $0.00 (0.0% of equity)
No positions currently held — sleeve rotates in and out
Updated 2026-08-27 2:25 AM EST
Signal-Only Paper · signals generated, no capital deployed
Meme ACTIVE SIGNAL-ONLY
WSB / social-mention signal scanner
Meme mania 0.0 · 0 candidates · feeds: polymarket, kalshi
Last run 2026-08-27 2:11 AM EST
Inverse Meme ACTIVE SIGNAL-ONLY
Long-only complement of the meme engine's price-confirmed WSB picks
Last run 2026-08-27 2:11 AM EST
Options ACTIVE SIGNAL-ONLY
Wheel strategy — cash-secured puts / covered calls
Last run 2026-08-27 2:11 AM EST
Trump Tweet ACTIVE NOTIFICATION ONLY
1-min Truth Social poller — NOTIFICATION ONLY: alerts sent, trading disabled 2026-08-20, no orders placed
No pending trade
Last run 2026-08-27 2:11 AM EST
Inverse Crypto ACTIVE SIGNAL-ONLY
7 strategies tested — no alpha after costs
Last run 2026-08-27 2:11 AM EST
DRAM PAUSED SIGNAL-ONLY
PAUSED TRADING — signal-only paper simulation continues; Dynamic Regime-Adaptive Momentum with vol-scaled sizing + VIX-adaptive ATR trailing stop
Last run 2026-08-27 8:00 AM EST
Retired · no allocation, kept for historical context
Shipping RETIRED 0% ALLOCATION
Tanker sector rotation — INSW/NAT/FRO/SBLK/DHT/STNG · 14-day rebalance
Retired — kept for historical context
Geo Reversal RETIRED 0% ALLOCATION
Geopolitical reversal rotation — energy vs broad market on geo-risk score shifts
Retired — kept for historical context
VIX Regime RETIRED 0% ALLOCATION
VIX regime recovery basket — 80% SPY / 20% QQQ when high-vol + low VIX + bull trend
Retired — kept for historical context
Value Dip RETIRED 0% ALLOCATION
NASDAQ-100 worst performers — dynamic sourcing pipeline, 4-condition entry gate
Retired — kept for historical context
Polymarket Weather RETIRED 0% ALLOCATION
Weather prediction market signals (retired/deleted)
Retired — kept for historical context
Pre-Market Momentum RETIRED 0% ALLOCATION
Pre-market gap momentum scanner — allocation removed after live evaluation
Retired · last run 2026-08-27 9:15 AM EST

Meme Sentiment SIGNAL-ONLY / NOT VALIDATED / NO LIVE CAPITAL

Meme Mania
0.0
Feeds Used
polymarket, kalshi
Feeds Missing
reddit, twitter
TickerMeme ScoreSuggested Weight
No candidates above threshold
signal-only; not validated; no live capital · updated 2026-08-26 9:31 PM

Earnings Calendar SCANNER

TickerEarnings DateDays UntilDecisionReason
Tuesday, 2026-08-25
ANF 2026-08-25 (Tuesday) 0 (today) NO SETUP Pullback 1.87% > 1.5% threshold (price above MA entry zone)
BOX 2026-08-25 (Tuesday) 0 (today) NO SETUP Pullback -0.12% and runup 0.67% pass; RSI unavailable; scanner marked no setup
Wednesday, 2026-08-26
CRM 2026-08-26 (Wednesday) 1 day TRIGGERED Pullback -0.36% ≤ 1.5% threshold, runup 4.57% ≤ 10% cap, within 5-day window
A 2026-08-26 (Wednesday) 1 day NO SETUP Pullback -1.29% and runup 2.7% pass; RSI unavailable; scanner marked no setup
BBWI 2026-08-26 (Wednesday) 1 day NO SETUP Pullback -2.69% and runup 0.25% pass; RSI unavailable; scanner marked no setup
BURL 2026-08-26 (Wednesday) 1 day NO SETUP Pullback -1.36% and runup -9.05% pass; RSI unavailable; scanner marked no setup
CRWD 2026-08-26 (Wednesday) 1 day NO SETUP Pullback -0.1% and runup -12.84% pass; RSI unavailable; scanner marked no setup
DCI 2026-08-26 (Wednesday) 1 day NO SETUP Pullback 0.81% and runup -3.02% pass; RSI unavailable; scanner marked no setup
Thursday, 2026-08-27
ADSK 2026-08-27 (Thursday) 2 days TRIGGERED Pullback -1.19% ≤ 1.5% threshold, runup -1.07% ≤ 10% cap, within 5-day window
DG 2026-08-27 (Thursday) 2 days TRIGGERED Pullback 0.97% ≤ 1.5% threshold, runup 3.61% ≤ 10% cap, within 5-day window
AFRM 2026-08-27 (Thursday) 2 days NO SETUP Pullback 0.13% and runup -0.01% pass; RSI unavailable; scanner marked no setup
BBY 2026-08-27 (Thursday) 2 days NO SETUP Pullback -0.74% and runup 3.6% pass; RSI unavailable; scanner marked no setup
BILI 2026-08-27 (Thursday) 2 days NO SETUP Pullback -1.44% and runup -7.84% pass; RSI unavailable; scanner marked no setup
CHA 2026-08-27 (Thursday) 2 days NO SETUP Pullback 1.5% and runup 6.05% pass; RSI unavailable; scanner marked no setup
CSIQ 2026-08-27 (Thursday) 2 days NO SETUP Pullback -2.14% and runup -9.01% pass; RSI unavailable; scanner marked no setup
Saturday, 2026-08-29
VSXY 2026-08-29 (Saturday) 4 days TRIGGERED Pullback 0.02% ≤ 1.5% threshold, runup -7.6% ≤ 10% cap, within 5-day window
Scanner: pullback ≤ 1.5%, runup ≤ 10%, RSI ≤ 70, entry window 5 days · Generated 2026-08-25 9:32 AM

Earnings Momentum LIVE PAPER

Trading Days Held
4 / 5
Open Legs
0 / 2
Signal
2026-08-21 5:05 PM
SymbolStatusEntryTargetStopCurrentUnrealized P&L
GEHC ORDER PENDING $74.82 (est.) $79.68 $70.70 — —
CMG EXITED · target hit $34.72 $36.98 $32.81 $37.33 $160.55 (+7.52%)
6.5% target · 5.5% stop · 5-session time exit · exit monitor 9:40 AM / 11:40 AM / 1:40 PM / 3:40 PM ET · last check 2026-08-27 11:40 AM

⚡ VIX for Compute

GPU compute price index from Ornn Data — the "OCPI" measures real $/GPU-hour pricing across the spot market. Annualized volatility is our computed "VIX" for compute. Also live on Bloomberg Terminal.
Compute VIX (avg)
66.4%
annualized, all GPUs
H100 Spot
$2.68
/GPU-hour
3-Mo Trend
H100 daily index
GPUDaily Index $/hrLive Spot3-Mo ReturnAnn. Vol20D Momentum
A100 SXM4$1.06$1.06-15.7%38.2%+3.1%
B200$6.22$6.22+16.5%59.1%+8.0%
H100 SXM$2.68$2.68-6.0%65.3%-0.0%
H200$4.24$4.24+3.3%96.2%-12.1%
RTX 5090$0.54$0.54-36.9%73.1%+9.4%
LLM Token Index$/Mtok (blended)Updated
Anthropic$1.5072026-08-25
Openai$0.4352026-08-25
Google$0.3052026-08-25
Deepseek$0.1012026-08-25
Source: Ornn Data API (free tier, daily grain) · H100 volatility index announced Aug 25, 2026 · Updated daily by cron · Paper trading context only

Live Paper Trading Performance — since July 27, 2026 LIVE PAPER

Last updated August 26, 2026 · page generated August 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM ET
Days Live
23
Total Return
+7.35%
Sharpe
4.22
Sortino
8.74
Calmar
36.85
Max DD
-3.19%
Trade Win Rate
65%
StrategyEquityReturnSharpeSortinoCalmarMax DDDaily Up %Best DayDays
Maple $12,959 +27.48% 7.54 17.54 471.51 -2.8% 65% +5.8% 23
Earnings Momentum $4,142 +8.51% 3.60 6.22 34.57 -4.2% 61% +2.7% 23
Bond Rotation $12,911 +4.23% 2.26 4.90 16.55 -3.5% 43% +3.4% 23
Memory Rotation $27,951 +1.18% 0.64 0.98 2.75 -5.0% 52% +4.4% 23
All metrics computed from actual tracked paper-account equity (state/per_strategy_equity) through August 26, 2026. Not a backtest.

Capital Allocation · No Margin

Memory Rotation
35%
$27,949.07
Bond Rotation
15%
$12,911.91
DRAM
0%
$0.00
VNQ Reversion
5%
$0.00
Maple
20%
$12,958.79
Earnings Momentum
15%
$4,142.42
Hormuz Carry
5%
$0.00
Ndx Momentum
5%
$0.00
GPU Tilt
5%
$0.00
Available Cash: $22,491.25 Total Deployed: $62,355.59 / $84,846.99
Zero-allocation/deallocated positions (pending liquidation): $4,393.41

Dram vs Memory Rotation — Backtest Comparison

DRAM is positioned as a capital-preservation variant: lowest drawdown of any risk-taking strategy. Universe selection bias applies (see signals/dynamic_regime.py). Bond Rotation is backtested over its own full 2007+ history (research/bond_rotation_backtest.py); backtest windows differ per row.
StrategyCAGRSharpeMax DDCalmarPeriod
DRAM85.5%2.25-13.4%6.391.5y
Memory Rotation687.6%2.90-35.3%19.481.5y
B&H QQQ27.4%1.17-22.8%1.201.5y
B&H BIL3.9%17.61-0.0%358.471.5y
Backtest comparison (research/dynamic_backtest_results.json). The live DRAM strategy trades a different universe and rebalances on different triggers. This is a research comparison, not a live performance record.
All trading is PAPER ONLY — no real capital at risk.
Generated 2026-08-27 13:00 EST